Kirk and Johnson combined have a better chance of winning than Ayotte. Safe D.
Likely D. Republicans need to get out of here and Wisconsin, and focus on winnable races.
Usually we agree 100%, but why Likely D? Rating it "Likely" D implies that there is a chance, however small it may be, that Ayotte can win this race. Not going to happen, even if Trump wins the presidency in a landslide.
While Ayotte is toast, I think that the loss will be within 5-6 points. Ayotte is losing, but since Scott Brown was still within 2-3 points, Ayotte will underperform only slightly (taking the Presidential Election and Hillary on top of the ticket into account). In about 15 years, though, New Hampshire margins will be Vermont margins, more or less. Many people here somehow think rating = margin. I said "likely" instead of safe to avoid pissing off those who somehow think New Hampshire is still a swing state, and I guess I fear the small off chance that we're wrong.
I almost want Ayotte to win (in a competitive environment,) just to see how you guys will react.
I'm not guessing that it will happen, but I imagine it'd be funny.