Marijuana 2016!

[The Mikado]

This isn't regarding the referendums on the issue taking place this year, but does anyone know if there any chance that Marijuana is legalized nationwide via Supreme Court?

Not going to happen. Even if the federal laws against marijuana end, the states are perfectly within their rights to ban it.

One famous example: Prohibition ended in 1933, but 18 states kept their state Prohibition laws on the books and were completely valid. The last of these was Mississippi, which had Prohibition as a state law until 1966(!).

[DavidB.]

Great news that the US is moving on. Sad news that the Netherlands, once a progressive country when it comes to drugs, lags behind.

[Vosem]

Would love for Ohio to have a non-ridiculous marijuana legalization proposal.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

After a severe drought of California proposition polls, a "new" Prop 64 poll was released this morning.

Conducted by CSU Sacramento, ordered by California Counts (Collaboration of select NPR/PBS affiliates across California):

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Only groups it struggles with are Republicans and those over 65. Even then, it still manages to get 50% support among both

http://www.scpr.org/news/2016/09/07/64396/california-counts-poll-big-leads-for-kamala-harris/

[Person Man]

After a severe drought of California proposition polls, a "new" Prop 64 poll was released this morning.

Conducted by CSU Sacramento, ordered by California Counts (Collaboration of select NPR/PBS affiliates across California):

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Only groups it struggles with are Republicans and those over 65. Even then, it still manages to get 50% support among both

http://www.scpr.org/news/2016/09/07/64396/california-counts-poll-big-leads-for-kamala-harris/

That's the entire West Coast from Point Barrow to Imperial Beach.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Finally, Prop 64 gets a more reputable poll:

SurveyUSA
Sept. 8-11
712 likely voters, MoE: ±3.8%

"Currently, medical marijuana is legal in California, but recreational marijuana is not. Proposition 64 would legalize and tax the recreational use of marijuana. Will you vote YES on Proposition 64, which would legalize the recreational use of marijuana by adults age 21 and older, and which would license, regulate and tax the marijuana industry? Or, will you vote NO on 64, which would keep state laws as they now are?"

Yes: 52%
No: 40%
Undecided: 8%


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=be4ba04e-e65c-4fbc-9d1c-bf87874ec85d&utm


I'm somewhat worried it'll completely flip in October, like what happened to Prop 19. That margin is too close to comfort for me

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

LA Times/USC Dornsife (Conducted by SurveyMonkey)
Sept. 1-8
1,879 registered voters (English/Spanish), MoE: ±2%

"Proposition 64 would legalize marijuana use by adults 21 or older in California and impose state taxes on sales and cultivation. It would provide for industry licensing, establish standards for marijuana products, and allow for local regulation and taxation. If the election were held today, how would you vote on Proposition 64?"

Yes: 58%
No: 34%
Undecided: 8%


Republicans make up bulk of opposition, with 56% of Republicans voting no & 68% of Democrats voting yes


http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-pot-survey-20160913-snap-story.html

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The Los Angeles Times endorsed Prop 64. Pretty notable in that, six years ago, they opposed Prop 19:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/editorials/la-ed-proposition-64-20160918-snap-story.html

[Figueira]

Most people, I know here are voting No on the pot referendum.

I don't know anyone who voted for Nixon.

[NOVA Green]

A bunch of counties and cities in Oregon are going to vote on marijuana related issues this November, from county taxation on sales, to some counties and cities potentially voting to go "dry" when it comes to having a dispensary within their jusrisdications.

http://www.oregonlive.com/marijuana/index.ssf/2016/09/voters_in_dozens_of_oregon_com.html#incart_river_index

[NOVA Green]

So a new batch of "Weed Polls" came out today as part of the InsightsWest organization:

http://www.insightswest.com/news/trump-leads-in-arizona-and-nevada-clinton-in-california-and-washington/

AZ- 56% currently supporting legalization
CA- 57% currently supporting legalization
NV- 55% currently supporting legalization


It's currently looking favorable to see three more Green states come November, in addition to the four Green states already out there (WA,OR,CO,AK).

I haven't seen any polls from Mass and Maine to see if there might be a breakthrough in the Northeast/ New England but definitely looking like there will be major gains this year on prohibition personal possession/consumption of herb.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Public Policy Institute of California
Sept. 9-18
1,702 likely voters (English/Spanish), MoE: ±3.5%

"Proposition 64 is called the “Marijuana Legalization. Initiative Statute.” It legalizes marijuana under state law, for use by adults 21 or older and imposes state taxes on sales and cultivation. It also provides for industry licensing and establishes standards for marijuana products and allows local regulation and taxation....If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 64?"

Yes: 60%
No: 36%
Undecided: 4%

Republicans are the only group opposed to it at 46-52. To my surprise, solid support across all regions of the state

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

And to finish off the week in Prop 64 polls:

Field Poll
Sept. 7-13
942 registered voters (English/Spanish)


Yes: 60%
No: 31%
Undecided: 9%


Just like PPIC, Republicans and Conservatives are the only groups opposed to 64. Otherwise, solid support across all regions and age groups

http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2548.pdf

[Gass3268]

Looks like we can rate California as Safe Marijuana.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Looks like we can rate California as Safe Marijuana.

Certainly seems like it. I'm really curious for some Maine or Massachusetts polls. Whoever legalizes it there controls the New England supply

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Nevada, Suffolk University
Sept. 27-29 (Last poll: Aug. 18)
500 likely voters, MoE: ±4.4%

"Question #2 is the marijuana question and would regulate and tax marijuana similar to alcohol....will you vote FOR or AGAINST this question?

For: 57% (+9)
Against: 33% (-10)
Undecided: 10% (+1)



The west is looking very green at the moment.

[The Mikado]

If even Arizona goes pro-pot, this is going to be a bloodbath.

[Enduro]

I think the majority of these states is voting yes.

[TarHeelDem]

Depressed Republican turnout should help all of these measures pass.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Depressed Republican turnout should help all of these measures pass.

I'm a little iffy on Arizona, but it's definitely gonna pass in CA, NV, and ME

[Shadows]

Bernie's Our Revolution is raising decent money for these initiatives, has a phonebanking app & is supporting all these initiatives.

Bernie already a new ad for California 61 Drug Prices & will be campaigning for it in CA. I hope he campaigns for Coloradocare & Marijuana Legalization!

[TarHeelDem]

Depressed Republican turnout should help all of these measures pass.

I'm a little iffy on Arizona, but it's definitely gonna pass in CA, NV, and ME

What about MA?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Depressed Republican turnout should help all of these measures pass.

I'm a little iffy on Arizona, but it's definitely gonna pass in CA, NV, and ME

What about MA?

I see that passing, a bit farther behind than the others. Here's what I'm predicting:

AZ: Fails 48-52 (Hesitant due to margin of Prop 203)
CA & NV: Passes 58-42
ME: Passes 62-38
MA: Passes 53-47

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

East Lansing, Michigan passed an ordinance legalizing marijuana

[Breton Racer]

It will pass everywhere, easily in California, Massachusetts, Nevada and Maine, comfortably in Arizona.