GA - Atlanta Journal Constitution: Clinton +4 / Clinton +3 (w/ Third Parties)

[dspNY]

Clinton winning independents, who trend pretty conservative, in Georgia by 5 (44/39)

[dspNY]

In 2012, Romney led all the Georgia polls by at least 8
In 2008, Obama had a 1 point lead in one Georgia poll. McCain led the other 25 polls taken after the conventions

[dspNY]

She's trailing whites by 40 when Dems usually trail by 50. SurveyUSA and Landmark has confirmed this 40 point margin. If she can get 30% of whites, it's definitely game over.

African-Americans are 30% of the vote and she'll get 90% of that
Hispanics are 5% of the vote and she'll get 75% of that

So that gives her around 32% of the overall state vote. If she gets 30% of whites that would give her just over 50%.

It is not game over but those numbers make it shockingly Lean D

[dspNY]

An AJC poll in August shows a Democrat leading? No way! Georgia is doomed I tell you. Doomed.

Georgia is the New Jersey of the South. This always happens, just for the Democrats instead of the Republicans. Then reality sets in.  But enjoy it for a few weeks, red avatars.

Except in the last two elections (2008 and 2012) there were 29 post-convention polls taken of Georgia (25 in 2008 and 4 in 2012) and the Republican led in 28 of those 29, with the only Dem lead being Obama +1 in 2008

This time around we have three post-convention polls; one showing Trump +4, one showing a tie and now one showing Clinton +4. Do the Republicans hold Georgia? In the end I think they will, but the state is unquestionably in peril due to Trump

[dspNY]

In 2012, Romney led all the Georgia polls by at least 8
In 2008, Obama had a 1 point lead in one Georgia poll. McCain led the other 25 polls taken after the conventions

It's definitely in play, they just need to put in a little investment. If Trump is going all in in PA, OH and FL, might as well try to expand the map to GA and AZ.

Trump's not going all in in Pennsylvania. He has virtually no campaign in the state.

I'll go full useless anecdote on you and mention that my father lives in my hometown in rural Berks County (just outside of "the collar") and he isn't seeing anything from Trump's campaign, but getting a lot of Hillary calls. Nor is he hearing a noticeable difference in % of supporters at his blue collar factory than with any other GOPer. Probably useless info though.

Well he has to go all in for PA with CO and VA off the board and NV soon to join them