UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump +12

[MT Treasurer]

37% Trump (R)
25% Clinton (D)
16% Johnson (L)
1% Stein (G)

21% Other/Undecided

Link.

[dspNY]

#BattlegroundUtah was fun while it lasted

[Sorenroy]

While Trump's lead increases by 3 points from their last poll, Trump is only up 1 from 36%. Clinton is down 2 (from 27%) and Johnson is up 6 (from 10%).

(Generic undecided is down 4 from 18, and Stein is down 1 from 2%. Other has fallen from 8% to 7%.)

[Gass3268]

That's a huge undecided number. I have to imagine that turnout is going to plunge compared to 2012.

[psychprofessor]

Weird election season when a 12 point R lead in Utah is seen as a good poll for the R candidate!

[IceSpear]

I love how funny the Utah graph looks.

[Sir Mohamed]

Still LOL. 37% is pretty weak, Drumpf is vulnerable in UT.

[amdcpus]

While Trump's lead increases by 3 points from their last poll, Trump is only up 1 from 36%. Clinton is down 2 (from 27%) and Johnson is up 3 (from 13%).

(Generic undecided is down 4 from 18, and Stein is down 1 from 2%. Other has fallen from 8% to 7%.)

Johnson's up 6% actually, 13% was a different poll.

[RI]

Dan Jones always has lots of undecideds.

[Xing]

Demagogue Don can't even crack 40% in a state Romney won with 73% of the vote. Sad!

[Gass3268]

Not a good number for Mia Love.

[ProudModerate2]

Clinton should :

Concentrate on critical swing states of FL, OH, NC and IA.
Secure lean-D states of PA and NV.
If numbers continue to look good, think about attacking GA and AZ.
Forget about UT, MO and IN.
(PS: CO, VA and NH look to be likely-D, but might need some "attention.")

[Seriously?]

#BattlegroundUtah was fun while it lasted

Dan Jones has been junk this cycle. If they have Trump with a big lead, you might as well call it a battleground state or a huge Trump lead, but anything other than Trump +12.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Even better, when he's getting only 37 percent of the vote in Utah!

[President Johnson]

37% pretty weak for Trump.

This here is an intersting analysis.

[ElectionsGuy]

You could also look at it this way...

Trump: 37%
Other: 31%
Clinton: 25%

A lot of people are going to stay home. I actually don't know if turnout will go up or down this cycle because Utah and Idaho alone are going to see a massive drop. But its 3 months to go and already Trump is looking OK here... (winning is all that matters in the EC, right?)

[Zioneer]

As a side note, the poll was done over 3 weeks rather than the traditional shorter time. So I don't know how trustworthy it is. This goes the same for the UT-04 poll, the gubernatorial poll, and the Senate poll, all of which were asked in this same large poll.

Also apparently a lot of the undecideds told Dan Jones that they wanted to just write-in Mitt Romney. I'll have to dig up the tweet where Dan Jones or another pollster mentioned that, but if true, that McMullin guy will have a fun time here.

[Likely Voter]

As a side note, the poll was done over 3 weeks rather than the traditional shorter time. So I don't know how trustworthy it is. This goes the same for the UT-04 poll, the gubernatorial poll, and the Senate poll, all of which were asked in this same large poll.

Also apparently a lot of the undecideds told Dan Jones that they wanted to just write-in Mitt Romney. I'll have to dig up the tweet where Dan Jones or another pollster mentioned that, but if true, that McMullin guy will have a fun time here.

Today on MTP Daily Steve Kornacki said they told him 14% volunteered they would write in Romney. A Romney endorsement of Johnson or McMullin would be a big deal in UT and certainly make it interesting. Without UT, Trump would need to win FL/OH/PA and one other state (probably IA).

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

As a side note, the poll was done over 3 weeks rather than the traditional shorter time. So I don't know how trustworthy it is. This goes the same for the UT-04 poll, the gubernatorial poll, and the Senate poll, all of which were asked in this same large poll.

Also apparently a lot of the undecideds told Dan Jones that they wanted to just write-in Mitt Romney. I'll have to dig up the tweet where Dan Jones or another pollster mentioned that, but if true, that McMullin guy will have a fun time here.

Today on MTP Daily Steve Kornacki said they told him 14% volunteered they would write in Romney. A Romney endorsement of Johnson or McMullin would be a big deal in UT and certainly make it interesting. Without UT, Trump would need to win FL/OH/PA and one other state (probably IA).

Does Utah count all write-ins? Apparently Vermont does, which could mean that Bernie could get a few percent there.