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Author Topic: Bloomberg/Selzer National: Clinton +6 (+4 in 4-way)  (Read 957 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 10, 2016, 06:46:47 am »

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-08-10/bloomberg-politics-national-poll

Clinton 50
Trump 44

Clinton 44
Trump 40
Johnson 9
Stein 4

Conducted August 5-8.
« Last Edit: August 10, 2016, 06:48:56 am by heatcharger »Logged
Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2016, 06:52:54 am »

I wish they'd poll more. Releasing a poll every 2 months doesnt really help show the movement brought on by the conventions.
« Last Edit: August 10, 2016, 06:54:46 am by Fusionmunster »Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: August 10, 2016, 06:56:27 am »

Hmm... has the race tightened a bit?
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2016, 06:58:30 am »

66% of non-whites are voting for Hillary? Sounds pretty low to me
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2016, 06:59:02 am »

Hmm... has the race tightened a bit?

No. Bloomberg's been a little more muted
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2016, 06:59:44 am »

Hmm... has the race tightened a bit?

Like I said, since their last poll was in mid June we cant tell if the race has or hasnt tightened since the conventions.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2016, 07:05:54 am »

Hmm... has the race tightened a bit?

I wouldn't count on it because their last poll was in June and Monmouth still has this race in the double digits. Trump also isn't capable of not shooting himself in the foot every week.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #7 on: August 10, 2016, 09:00:17 am »

Well, the state polls are much more consistent with a Clinton +6-8 lead right now than a Clinton +10-12 lead, unless she is up 40 in CA and TX is a statistical tie.  I never thought it was reasonable for Clinton to win by 11 in the first place.

For the named 3rd party polls, I want to see what happens when they start including McMullin.  He could be an anti-Stein for Trump to worry about.

Just throw it in the aggregate. There is a margin of error for a reason - some polls show a mid single digit lead, some show a double digit lead. It will fluctuate based on a lot of factors. This poll has her non-white numbers somewhat low.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: August 10, 2016, 09:01:35 am »

Hillary’s actual lead is probably bigger as of now.
« Last Edit: August 10, 2016, 09:06:42 am by MohamedChalid »Logged
Seriously?
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« Reply #9 on: August 10, 2016, 09:04:54 am »

El Bloomberg/Selzer? I expected Hillary +50 given this environment right now. Is this LV or RV?

It's in line with LV on the tracking polls.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: August 10, 2016, 12:44:47 pm »

This is on the lower end of Clinton leads now (I got an average of +8 Clinton) but is still very reasonable and more importantly it's what I expect her to be up by.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #11 on: August 10, 2016, 07:34:20 pm »

Seems like an outlier, still is very intersting.
https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rAjnCYJjgvBw/v0

July, asked only of likely voters; n=749.
Head-to-head:
                     Tot (first + lean)
Hillary Clinton 50 (45+5)
Donald Trump 44 (42+2)

4-way:
Hillary Clinton  44 (42+2)
Donald Trump  40 (40+0)
Gary Johnson   9   (9+0)
Jill Stein          4   (4+0)


Here are some things Donald Trump has said about Hillary Clinton. Which of these do you think is the one that concerns you about her potential presidency the most, if any?
37 She’s a liar
10 She is crooked
13 She shows bad judgment
7 She’s the devil
31 None of these (VOL)
4 Not sure

Here are some things Hillary Clinton and her supporters have said about Donald Trump. Which of these do you think is the one that concerns you about his potential presidency the most, if any?
31 He does not have a presidential temperament
5 He is friendly with Vladimir Putin
13 It is dangerous to have him in charge of nuclear weapons
24 He is mentally unstable
23 None of these (VOL)
3 Not sure

Who do you expect to have a better performance in the first debate—Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton?
36 Donald Trump
56 Hillary Clinton
8 Not sure
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2016, 07:37:09 pm »

Here are some things Donald Trump has said about Hillary Clinton. Which of these do you think is the one that concerns you about her potential presidency the most, if any?

7 She’s the devil

Oh humans, never change.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2016, 08:25:29 am »

Clinton +25 with college educated voters, Trump +10 with non-college educated voters
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