New York City mayoral election, 2017 thread (user search)
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  New York City mayoral election, 2017 thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: New York City mayoral election, 2017 thread  (Read 34831 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 29, 2017, 09:56:19 PM »

Is DeBlasio in danger of losing any borough aside from Staten Island?

No. deBlasio will win every borough but Staten Island - handily. This isn't Rudy Giuliani's New York City any more.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2017, 10:17:49 PM »

Will DeBlasio get something close to the 49 point margin he got in 2013, or something much smaller?

It probably won't be quite that large. He'll still get around 2/3 of the vote though.

The margin could be that large because Deitl and Malliotakis could split the anti-de Blasio vote, though. I expect de Blasio to get around 70% of the vote.
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,719


« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2017, 09:16:45 PM »

Will DeBlasio get something close to the 49 point margin he got in 2013, or something much smaller?

It probably won't be quite that large. He'll still get around 2/3 of the vote though.

The margin could be that large because Deitl and Malliotakis could split the anti-de Blasio vote, though. I expect de Blasio to get around 70% of the vote.

What percentages would you guess for the others?

I'm going to guess:
de Blasio 67%
Malliotakis 22%
Dietl 9%
Others 2%

But my predictions are often wildly inaccurate.
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