Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 08, 2019, 01:21:06 pm
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7  (Read 678 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,999
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 08, 2016, 06:57:47 pm »

47% Roy Blunt (R, inc.)
40% Jason Kander (D)
6% Other

https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,670
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2016, 07:03:23 pm »

Blunt's not more vulnerable than Toomey.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,860
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2016, 07:07:43 pm »

I thought that he was going to overperform a bit Clinton, this result surprises me.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 08, 2016, 07:09:54 pm »

New Poll: Missouri Senator by Other Source on 2016-08-06

Summary: D: 40%, R: 47%, I: 6%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,521


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2016, 01:57:50 pm »

I thought that he was going to overperform a bit Clinton, this result surprises me.

I think this is just about the end of the line for Missouri D's.  And yes, the whole "OMG Toomey is such an overperformer" stuff needs to stop.  To think Democrats will pick up seats in places Obama lost twice before they snag one in PA just because McGinty is a hack isn't rational.

No, the state is too independent to become another Arkansas, West Virginia, or Kentucky.

It should not even be competitive for Clinton based on state Demographics. However, the last two recent polls show it is.

The governors race has had to recent results of D+2 and D+19. Obviously, the second one is likely a an outliner, but the cross tabs held up.

Yes, the city of St. Louis has lost significant influence on the vote. However, counties around the KC area are largely swing counties, especially locally. Even if they voted for Romney and McCain, they often swing hard to the Democrats in statewide races. There are a lot of Democratic vote sinks in Missouri which makes the legislature inflatedly Republican.

So, no, Missouri Democrats are not at the end of the line.
Logged
jimmie
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,521


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2016, 05:16:04 pm »

Update: The Kander campaign responded to our story with an important piece of context: Remington Research, the group commissioned to do the poll cited here, is founded by Republican political consultant Jeff Roe, who also worked on Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign. Two polls published before the primary election—from Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and Public Policy Polling—put the race between Kander and Blunt at a statistical tie. The original story continues below.

https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/

I do think Blunt wins though.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC