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January 28, 2020, 11:03:25 am
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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7  (Read 706 times)
jimmie
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« on: August 09, 2016, 01:57:50 pm »

I thought that he was going to overperform a bit Clinton, this result surprises me.

I think this is just about the end of the line for Missouri D's.  And yes, the whole "OMG Toomey is such an overperformer" stuff needs to stop.  To think Democrats will pick up seats in places Obama lost twice before they snag one in PA just because McGinty is a hack isn't rational.

No, the state is too independent to become another Arkansas, West Virginia, or Kentucky.

It should not even be competitive for Clinton based on state Demographics. However, the last two recent polls show it is.

The governors race has had to recent results of D+2 and D+19. Obviously, the second one is likely a an outliner, but the cross tabs held up.

Yes, the city of St. Louis has lost significant influence on the vote. However, counties around the KC area are largely swing counties, especially locally. Even if they voted for Romney and McCain, they often swing hard to the Democrats in statewide races. There are a lot of Democratic vote sinks in Missouri which makes the legislature inflatedly Republican.

So, no, Missouri Democrats are not at the end of the line.
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jimmie
jamespol
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2016, 05:16:04 pm »

Update: The Kander campaign responded to our story with an important piece of context: Remington Research, the group commissioned to do the poll cited here, is founded by Republican political consultant Jeff Roe, who also worked on Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign. Two polls published before the primary election—from Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and Public Policy Polling—put the race between Kander and Blunt at a statistical tie. The original story continues below.

https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/

I do think Blunt wins though.
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