Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 23, 2019, 10:22:52 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  NC-PPP: Clinton +2/+1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: NC-PPP: Clinton +2/+1  (Read 2381 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,433
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 09, 2016, 08:54:36 am »

43% Clinton (D)
41% Trump (R)
7% Johnson (L)
2% Stein (G)

47% Clinton (D)
46% Trump (R)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/08/clinton-leads-in-nc-for-first-time-since-march.html
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,775
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2016, 08:55:43 am »

Looks about right given it's PPP.
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,775
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2016, 08:59:34 am »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

-Trump said last week that Hillary Clinton is the devil, and 41% of Trump voters say they think she is indeed the devil to 42% who disagree with that sentiment and 17% who aren't sure one way or the other.
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,508


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2016, 09:15:19 am »

Q14. Can Trump be trusted with nuclear weapons?

38% Yes
54% No
9% Unsure

Uh... a bunch of people who said they are voting for Trump don't want his finger on the button... People are dumb.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,880
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2016, 09:15:39 am »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

-Trump said last week that Hillary Clinton is the devil, and 41% of Trump voters say they think she is indeed the devil to 42% who disagree with that sentiment and 17% who aren't sure one way or the other.

Thanks Mr. Drumpf for destroying the believe in democracy and fair elections although no facts back your claims up.

And sure, President Obama was commander-in-chief in 2004.
« Last Edit: August 09, 2016, 09:20:29 am by MohamedChalid »Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of wonderful California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2016, 09:19:14 am »

I'll take PPP's word for it. NC is their state
Logged
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,089
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2016, 09:40:16 am »

43% Clinton (D) (0)
41% Trump (R) (-2)
7% Johnson (L) (+3)
2% Stein (G) (0)
8% Undecided (+1)

47% Clinton (D) (+1)
46% Trump (R) (-2)
7% Undecided (+2)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/08/clinton-leads-in-nc-for-first-time-since-march.html

Added the undecided numbers and the changes from their poll over a month and a half ago.

Also, Jill Stein's numbers will probably not be nearly as high on election day as she is not even on the ballot (she is a write-in).
« Last Edit: August 09, 2016, 11:04:18 am by Sorenroy »Logged

Somewhere in-between moderate conservative and revolutionary communist.



You matter, and never forget that. You are loved.
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,085


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2016, 09:45:23 am »

So GA is now even with or left of NC?

Not necessarily.  The recent GA polls with Clinton leads were from other pollsters.  PPP seems to have a slight R lean this cycle.  It would be nice to see them poll GA for comparison.
Logged

Originally a Rockefeller Republican, then a long-time independent.  Converted to the Democrats in October 2018 out of revulsion at what the Republican party has become.
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,951
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2016, 09:54:31 am »

So GA is now even with or left of NC?

Not necessarily.  The recent GA polls with Clinton leads were from other pollsters.  PPP seems to have a slight R lean this cycle.  It would be nice to see them poll GA for comparison.

How does GA compare with NC in terms of educated voters?
Logged

Sic semper tyrannis.
psychprofessor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,078


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2016, 09:59:38 am »

PPP is also all robo calls and they weight according to demos. They've consistently been underestimating Hillary's support all cycle. However, given that they have her in the lead in NC, it's pretty safe to say she is leading in VA, NC and probably very close in GA. We need a SC poll soon.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,085


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2016, 10:03:39 am »

So GA is now even with or left of NC?

Not necessarily.  The recent GA polls with Clinton leads were from other pollsters.  PPP seems to have a slight R lean this cycle.  It would be nice to see them poll GA for comparison.

How does GA compare with NC in terms of educated voters?

Pretty close; GA has a very slight advantage.

GA: 29.1% of the voting age population have a bachelor's degree or higher (30.1% for age 25+)

NC: 28.7% and 30.1%

Source: Census Bureau state electorate profiles at http://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/2016/comm/electorate-profiles.html

Logged

Originally a Rockefeller Republican, then a long-time independent.  Converted to the Democrats in October 2018 out of revulsion at what the Republican party has become.
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,951
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2016, 10:06:45 am »

So GA is now even with or left of NC?

Not necessarily.  The recent GA polls with Clinton leads were from other pollsters.  PPP seems to have a slight R lean this cycle.  It would be nice to see them poll GA for comparison.

How does GA compare with NC in terms of educated voters?

Pretty close; GA has a very slight advantage.

GA: 29.1% of the voting age population have a bachelor's degree or higher (30.1% for age 25+)

NC: 28.7% and 30.1%

Source: Census Bureau state electorate profiles at http://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/2016/comm/electorate-profiles.html



Not large enough to account for the difference then... hmm.
Logged

Sic semper tyrannis.
Sorenroy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,089
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -3.83

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 09, 2016, 10:10:53 am »

LOL, just found this scrolling through the crosstabs:

Stein gets 2% of the vote, however only 1% of the white vote and 2% of the black vote. The only thing that puts her at 2% rather than 1% is the fact that she garners 8% of the "other" vote.

Note that she isn't on the ballot. To get that support, all of those people would  have to write her in.
Logged

Somewhere in-between moderate conservative and revolutionary communist.



You matter, and never forget that. You are loved.
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2016, 10:11:15 am »

I knew PPP would be off from other polls both state and national. The only thing to look at is the trend line.

We need a SC poll soon.

From a pollster not named PPP.
Logged

Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,236
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2016, 10:12:35 am »

It could be that polls are a bit too friendly for Clinton in Georgia. I highly doubt she's actually up by 7 there. Clinton up by 2 in NC definitely seems plausible.
Logged

WI is Safe D
Beef
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,839
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 09, 2016, 10:13:04 am »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

Is this a push poll?
Logged

 
Devout Centrist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,285
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 09, 2016, 10:15:56 am »

PPP is the Prince Zuko of polling. It had a solid track record and pedigree, but it got burned during the primaries and underestimates Hillary's support.
Logged
dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 09, 2016, 10:16:02 am »

Larger AA population in GA + an already maxed out GOP rural white population + new arrivals in GA who are moderate = more serious swing potential in GA
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,951
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 09, 2016, 10:17:04 am »

Larger AA population in GA + an already maxed out GOP rural white population + new arrivals in GA who are moderate = more serious swing potential in GA

That makes sense.
Logged

Sic semper tyrannis.
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,433
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 09, 2016, 12:11:08 pm »

So GA is now even with or left of NC?

1992 all over again.  /s
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
BlueSwan
blueswan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,588
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 09, 2016, 01:16:12 pm »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

-Trump said last week that Hillary Clinton is the devil, and 41% of Trump voters say they think she is indeed the devil to 42% who disagree with that sentiment and 17% who aren't sure one way or the other.
That is disturbing stuff.
Logged

Any democrat 2020.
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,795
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 09, 2016, 01:43:52 pm »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

-Trump said last week that Hillary Clinton is the devil, and 41% of Trump voters say they think she is indeed the devil to 42% who disagree with that sentiment and 17% who aren't sure one way or the other.
That is disturbing stuff.

A testament to the awfulness of America's educational system.

With all the reference material on the Web, can;t people at the least do some fact-checking?
Logged



Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
ProudModerate2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,503
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 09, 2016, 01:53:27 pm »

-69% of Trump voters think that if Hillary Clinton wins the election it will be because it was rigged, to only 16% who think it would be because she got more vote than Trump.

-48% of Trump voters think that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton deserve the blame for Humayun Khan's death to 16% who absolve them and 36% who aren't sure one way or the other

-Trump said last week that Hillary Clinton is the devil, and 41% of Trump voters say they think she is indeed the devil to 42% who disagree with that sentiment and 17% who aren't sure one way or the other.

That is disturbing stuff.

A testament to the awfulness of America's educational system.
With all the reference material on the Web, can;t people at the least do some fact-checking?

Some of it, unfortunately, is a direct result of the educational system or due to direct fault of the individual's drive to obtain a proper education (and I mean basic education, like a High School diploma),
But when you look at the question asked to trump voters about the devil, I don't think that 41% of them can possibly truly believe that Hillary is Satan. More than likely, these individuals detest Hillary to the point that they would answer "yes" to any silly and distasteful question that would shine negative light on her campaign.
Logged
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,669
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 09, 2016, 02:12:42 pm »

The area code numbers are pretty good for Trump, he's winning everywhere except the Raleigh Area and is very close in South Western NC
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 09, 2016, 06:13:36 pm »

New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-08-07

Summary: D: 43%, R: 41%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines