Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Even LA Times indicates that Trump goes down/Clinton — up.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

RIP HILLARY

]

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They were awful in the primaries, they are awful now. ALL DAILY TRACKERS ARE AWFUL.

No, you're wrong!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They were awful in the primaries, they are awful now. ALL DAILY TRACKERS ARE AWFUL.

No, you're wrong!

Am I? Which daily tracker is any good?

Leave The LA Times Poll Alone!
Instead of arguing about it or ignoring it, adjust for it.

By Nate Silver

[Erich Maria Remarque]

They were awful in the primaries, they are awful now. ALL DAILY TRACKERS ARE AWFUL.

No, you're wrong!

Am I? Which daily tracker is any good?

Leave The LA Times Poll Alone!
Instead of arguing about it or ignoring it, adjust for it.

By Nate Silver

If I have to personally adjust 6 points for one candidate in order to correct flawed methodology and to assume im getting more accurate results, the poll is junk.

Sigh...
Clearly, Trump is underperforming among uneducated

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Ipsos is the best pollster I know. After LA Times

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Ipsos is the best pollster I know. After LA Times

I guess you only know two pollsters then.

Dems have no sense of humor, are they?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

About 6% of LV are not RV according to IPSOS. I thought, that non-RV don't get through screening

And if you switch LV to LV&RV, "Wouldn't Vote" option loses 2% on average, from 4% to 2%.  

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Oh Reuters, showing a poll through 9/4 right now with 171 respondents with Clinton +12 in the two-way and +11 in the 4-way...

Holding before posting because, well, it's not 9/4.

Link?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Oh Reuters, showing a poll through 9/4 right now with 171 respondents with Clinton +12 in the two-way and +11 in the 4-way...

Holding before posting because, well, it's not 9/4.

Link?

They've since modified the Polling Explorer website and took it off and on intermittently. you may or may not catch it.

2-way
http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1/type/week/dates/20160801-20160930/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

4-way
http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/LIKELY:1/type/week/dates/20160801-20160901/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

But it is just weekly view. Aug 29 - Sep 4. But they've probably only realised for one day (29). Nothing strange IMHO.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

What's causing Trump to surge? lol

Hillary being a crooked beeotch

[Erich Maria Remarque]

IDK, they are OK, I think. But they should not change methodology during the cycle and should have 7-9 days average instead for 5 — they are very noisy right now.

LA Times has 7-days and about ~2500 sample size (350 per day), while IPSOS has 5-days and ~1100 sample size ( = just ~220 per day). If one kind of average them, they look OK.