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  WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV  (Read 2907 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: August 10, 2016, 12:24:40 pm »
« edited: August 10, 2016, 12:30:05 pm by TN volunteer »

Among registered voters:

46% Clinton (D)
36% Trump (R)

42% Clinton (D)
33% Trump (R)
10% Johnson (L)
4% Stein (G)

Among likely voters:

52% Clinton (D)
37% Trump (R)

47% Clinton (D)
34% Trump (R)
9% Johnson (L)
3% Stein (G)

Done Aug. 4-7
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2016, 12:25:08 pm »

Among registered voters:

46% Clinton (D)
36% Trump (R)

LVs

52% Clinton (D)
37% Trump (R)
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: August 10, 2016, 12:25:35 pm »

Among registered voters:

46% Clinton (D)
36% Trump (R)

LVs

52% Clinton (D)
37% Trump (R)

Wisconsin is almost Safe D
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Yank2133
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« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2016, 12:26:43 pm »

Ouch.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2016, 12:28:13 pm »

Like I expected, just more evidence that he is toast.
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dspNY
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« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2016, 12:29:17 pm »

Minnesota and Michigan look pretty safe with numbers like this out of WI
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2016, 12:29:45 pm »

Even in a close election I think Trump would lose Wisconsin by a few.  But in this environment, he's gonna get massacred.
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: August 10, 2016, 12:30:19 pm »
« Edited: August 10, 2016, 12:32:09 pm by dspNY »

4 way (LV): Clinton 47, Trump 34, Johnson 9, Stein 3

If Stein is getting 3% in Wisconsin she's doing worse in almost every other swing state.

Plus Trump at 34 in Wisconsin in a 4-way heat and 37 in a head-to-head is LOL hilarious
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: August 10, 2016, 12:32:07 pm »

Looks about right in a 2008-like race, like we have it now.
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Arch
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« Reply #9 on: August 10, 2016, 12:34:12 pm »

Yet TNVolunteer insists WI is even possible for Trump. It's not; it's long long gone.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: August 10, 2016, 12:35:37 pm »

Democrats are now more likely to vote than Republicans:

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: August 10, 2016, 12:37:30 pm »

Democrats are now more likely to vote than Republicans:

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Strange that a difference of just 3% among "likelihood to vote" yields a 5% worse result for Trump among LV ...

But I guess it adds up somehow if you do the math.
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dspNY
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2016, 12:37:35 pm »

Clinton favorables: 43/53
Trump favorables: 27/65!!!
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Fargobison
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« Reply #13 on: August 10, 2016, 12:41:05 pm »

Clinton favorables: 43/53
Trump favorables: 27/65!!!

This was all very predictable...From before the WI primary...

Image Link
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Arch
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« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2016, 12:41:33 pm »

I think Sanders would have been up 60-30 here, lol.

Something like 58-35 I'd say.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2016, 12:42:43 pm »

Not enough Reagan Democrats in Wisconsin.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: August 10, 2016, 12:43:58 pm »

lol Trump doesn't have a chance in Wisconsin. Yet some put this on their map.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #17 on: August 10, 2016, 12:44:11 pm »

I think Sanders would have been up 60-30 here, lol.

And Rubio would probably be beating Clinton.
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« Reply #18 on: August 10, 2016, 12:44:55 pm »

I think Sanders would have been up 60-30 here, lol.

And Rubio would probably be beating Clinton.

Kasich would I think. I'm not sure about Rubio.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #19 on: August 10, 2016, 12:45:43 pm »

Clinton favorables: 43/53
Trump favorables: 27/65!!!

This was all very predictable...From before the WI primary...

Image Link

And right there you can see the HUGE educational divide. Farming/blue collar/poor outstate is for Trump but has a lot less population.
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Still couldn't quell the Bel
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« Reply #20 on: August 10, 2016, 12:51:47 pm »

My condolences, TNMTVolunteer. Trump can't win Wisconsin. It's really interesting that Democrats are doing better among likely voters this time around.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #21 on: August 10, 2016, 01:00:09 pm »

Republicans get most of their CONGRESSIONAL power from rural areas, but Republicans count on most of their winning MARGINS coming from highly populated suburban counties in most states.  For example, it's kind of irrelevant that rural KS is ultra-Republican, because if the KC suburbs weren't highly Republican, it wouldn't matter.  This is especially true in states like WI, MN and NH where the main suburban areas usually vote to the right of the rural areas.  If you're unappealing to those voters - the most likely to vote for a generic R AND in populous areas - kiss those states goodbye.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #22 on: August 10, 2016, 01:00:46 pm »

The fake billionaire never had a chance in WI.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #23 on: August 10, 2016, 01:17:19 pm »

As expected on local news social media websites this poll is fake, the election is rigged, people only see Trump signs and he has WI in the bag. Some guy thought they only polled Milwaukee, someone else thought they just polled Marquette students. The hurt is going to be immense!
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #24 on: August 10, 2016, 01:23:38 pm »

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