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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV  (Read 2905 times)
Landslide Andy
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« Reply #25 on: August 10, 2016, 02:16:33 pm »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marquette Law School on 2016-08-07

Summary: D: 47%, R: 34%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #26 on: August 10, 2016, 02:17:25 pm »

I never understood why some people on Atlas thought WI was in play.
It is at a minimum, a Likely-D state.
If this poll holds up, it is Safe-D.
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Arch
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« Reply #27 on: August 10, 2016, 02:20:36 pm »

I never understood why some people on Atlas thought WI was in play.
It is at a minimum, a Likely-D state.
If this poll holds up, it is Safe-D.

He is about the worst possible fit for the state. At his best, Trump was behind by 5. He has NEVER led in any WI poll and never will.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #28 on: August 10, 2016, 02:32:49 pm »

Wisconsin was never even close to the tossup range with Trump...he's consistently behind by double digits in the state.   

Republicans just think that since they came close to winning the state 12-16 years ago it is forever and ever a swing state no matter what.
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Biden If Buttigieg
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« Reply #29 on: August 10, 2016, 02:36:05 pm »

Clinton doing better among "likely voters" than among "registered voters"?  Unless that is a transposition error, this suggests that well-educated white voters are turning against Donald Trump.   

She has done better with LV than RV in almost every state and national poll.
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Stockdale for Veep
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« Reply #30 on: August 10, 2016, 02:41:20 pm »

As expected on local news social media websites this poll is fake, the election is rigged, people only see Trump signs and he has WI in the bag. Some guy thought they only polled Milwaukee, someone else thought they just polled Marquette students. The hurt is going to be immense!

But he's dominating the Northwoods!!!!
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dspNY
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« Reply #31 on: August 10, 2016, 02:41:46 pm »

One last thing showing how detested trump is in Wisconsin...Clinton is polling ahead of Feingold and Feingold is definitely more liked in WI than Hillary
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #32 on: August 10, 2016, 02:54:09 pm »

All we need now is RCP to flip Michigan and this race is over.
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ill ind
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« Reply #33 on: August 10, 2016, 05:22:10 pm »

Without the WOW counties (Waukesha,Ozaukee,Washington) Trump is totally sink in Wi.  Those are the counties where he is viewed most negatively though.
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uti2
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« Reply #34 on: August 10, 2016, 06:34:56 pm »

I think Sanders would have been up 60-30 here, lol.

And Rubio would probably be beating Clinton.

Kasich would I think. I'm not sure about Rubio.

Kasich is the only one who would've given Clinton a real run for the money in WI, and he also would've been more competitive than a typical republican in PA. Jeb/Rubio are too socially con for PA, and WI leans socially lib (although it's very polarized, like in 2000/2004). Hillary should've won it v. Jeb/Rubio in normal circumstances, WI dems would've been able to tie jeb/rubio to scott walker, and the angry berniebros would've voted for hillary 'as a vote against walker'. Kasich was the only danger to this thread, because his governing track record is a bit different from typical snyder/brownback/walker type governorships. This is also why even though the PV might've been a tossup in a bush/rubio race, Hillary would've had the EV advantage.
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Speaker OneJ
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« Reply #35 on: August 11, 2016, 02:53:01 am »

This poll of Wisconsin proves once again that Trump's Rust Belt strategy is not working.

Meanwhile, he visits Washington. Squinting
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Anonymous
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« Reply #36 on: August 11, 2016, 06:24:09 am »

I never understood why some people on Atlas thought WI was in play.
It is at a minimum, a Likely-D state.
If this poll holds up, it is Safe-D.

My guess would be that some thought that since she lost the state twice in the primaries and how close it was in 2000 and 2004 that it could somehow be a swing state, but I never expected it to be. I'd categorize Wisconsin as leans D in a neutral election; this election, however, with the impending landslide that's about to come, it's safe D.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #37 on: August 11, 2016, 08:08:16 am »

Oh I love the local far-right internet crazies. Trump is actually winning 72-29% and the polls are all lies and wrong and only poll Dem areas. Lol, what nutjobs. Too bad they'll scream "rigged" when Drumpf gets flattened here.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #38 on: August 11, 2016, 08:21:01 am »

Oh I love the local far-right internet crazies. Trump is actually winning 72-29% and the polls are all lies and wrong and only poll Dem areas. Lol, what nutjobs. Too bad they'll scream "rigged" when Drumpf gets flattened here.

Some people just always have an answer to suit them Smiley
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Nhoj
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« Reply #39 on: August 11, 2016, 01:45:35 pm »

Clinton favorables: 43/53
Trump favorables: 27/65!!!

This was all very predictable...From before the WI primary...

Image Link

And right there you can see the HUGE educational divide. Farming/blue collar/poor outstate is for Trump but has a lot less population.
Well that was Last month from R primary voters. The crosstabs from this poll for the whole electorate has him with his best favorable ratings in the green bay region.
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