WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV (user search)
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  WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Clinton +10/+9 among RV, +15/+13 among LV  (Read 4358 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: August 10, 2016, 12:32:07 PM »

Looks about right in a 2008-like race, like we have it now.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2016, 12:37:30 PM »

Democrats are now more likely to vote than Republicans:

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Strange that a difference of just 3% among "likelihood to vote" yields a 5% worse result for Trump among LV ...

But I guess it adds up somehow if you do the math.
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