NH-CBS/YouGov: Hassan +1

[MT Treasurer]

lol....

Maggie Hassan (D): 42%
Kelly Ayotte (R, inc.): 41%

Link.

[MT Treasurer]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

[Xing]

Maybe they're undecided because Hassan hasn't yet promised to prevent men from voting in NH.

Anyway, are there no FL/GA senate numbers?

[RINO Tom]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

[MT Treasurer]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

She doesn't always overperform. She was leading by double digits in early October 2014 but only won by 5 on election day - against a C-lister.

[RINO Tom]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

You think the only reason she'll outperform Trump is because she's a woman?  What about Trump being a jerk who makes outlandish statements and causes sane people to question whether he's fit to serve?  That's probably worth a point or two.

[Skye]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

Nice way of ignoring 2014.