SC-PPP: Trump +2 (user search)
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  SC-PPP: Trump +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC-PPP: Trump +2  (Read 12810 times)
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
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Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« on: August 11, 2016, 10:20:29 AM »
« edited: August 11, 2016, 10:22:09 AM by john cage bubblegum »

Not a big surprise given all the recent polling of the Southeast.  SC has such a large block of non-white voters for Clinton, and Trump is offending just enough sane white voters to give himself trouble in a state like SC.  

Now there are more undecided Rs than Ds here, and so the likelihood is that they'll come home and give Trump the win, but with Trump being such a terrible candidate, who knows.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2016, 10:49:59 AM »
« Edited: August 11, 2016, 10:52:09 AM by john cage bubblegum »

Yeah, this is NOT a straight PPP poll and should be reported accordingly. It's akin to an internal if it was done on behalf of the Democrats. The thread should start PPP (D). There's really nothing to see here.

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It may have been paid for by a Democratic client, but that doesn't mean they're just going to make it 5 points more Dem just because of that fact.  They released the crosstabs and everything as if it's a poll not paid for by a client.  I'm not sure about this, but I believe PPP releases all polls they do.  We normally only hear about internal partisan polls when they're good for one side.

In any case, this result is about where the 538 Nowcast had SC.
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