IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 (user search)
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  IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Suffolk: Trump +1  (Read 3469 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: August 11, 2016, 03:55:28 PM »
« edited: August 11, 2016, 03:57:57 PM by Maxwell »

Iowa doesn't look like many other swing states - it's pretty dominantly white. And unlike New Hampshire, there isn't that whole old school moderate Republicanism in existence.

maybe Iowa is trending hard Republican, but what i find fascinating about this poll is Obama's approval ratings are -7. RCP has his national approval ratings above 51%.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2016, 04:02:44 PM »

their party demographics are pretty much matching 2012's numbers - 33% Republican, 33% Democrat, 34% Independent. Exits showed Romney taking more Democrats than Obama taking Republicans, but Obama made up for it by leading among Independents by a whopping 14 points.

This time around, Clinton actually takes more from Republicans (11%) than Trump takes from Democrats (6%), but Trump actually leads indies by 6 (37-31, with a yuge 29% undecided).
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