ME-Gravis Marketing: Clinton+10

[Tender Branson]

46% Clinton
36% Trump

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43% Clinton
33% Trump
10% Johnson
  5% Stein

Poll was conducted between Aug. 4 and Aug. 8.

The poll was conducted with 2,046 registered voters in the Pine Tree State, using automated telephone calls with online responses and carries a 2.2 percent margin of error.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/11/breitbartgravis-poll-maine-voters-support-clinton-46-trump-36

[Sir Mohamed]

No results for the second district?

[Boston Bread]

There's something going on in this state.... we've probably reached the point where it will vote to the right of NH.

You know this based on a Gravis poll?

[Devout Centrist]

Again, it's Gravis. The lead is suspect, perhaps too small.

I want a Zogby poll of Oklahoma dammit!

[dspNY]

LOL Gravis

But if true, it means that ME-2 is around a 3-4 point lead for Clinton

[Tender Branson]

If they release 2 state polls each day now (especially states that nobody polls), I'm fine with it.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Maine President by Gravis Marketing on 2016-08-08

Summary: D: 43%, R: 33%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Xing]

There's something going on in this state.... we've probably reached the point where it will vote to the right of NH.

No, there isn't. Polls understate leads in same states all the time. Maine is Safe D.

[Podgy the Bear]

At this stage, I think that ME-2 will go for Hillary in November.  Of course, on Election Night, the networks will try to maintain the suspense and hold back that one EV.  I can see Wolf Blitzer get into his hyperexcitability mode over this.

[Mr. Morden]

I can see Wolf Blitzer get into his hyperexcitability mode over this.

Blitzer will talk about how CNN is "watching the results closely in Maine's 2nd district".  They always "watch results closely".

[IceSpear]

I can see Wolf Blitzer get into his hyperexcitability mode over this.

Blitzer will talk about how CNN is "watching the results closely in Maine's 2nd district".  They always "watch results closely".

As opposed to watching the results distantly, I guess.

[Dr. Arch]

There's something going on in this state.... we've probably reached the point where it will vote to the right of NH.

It's the Angry Maine Lumberjacks.

[GMantis]

There's something going on in this state.... we've probably reached the point where it will vote to the right of NH.

It's the Angry Maine Lumberjacks.

It might be the resettlement of refugees in Maine.

[Seriously?]

LOL Gravis

But if true, it means that ME-2 is around a 3-4 point lead for Clinton

That's about right, especially the IF true part.

I think ME-2 was about 7-8 points apart from ME-1 in the last cycle and 4 off of the state average. I am still not buying the ME-2 is close meme though.

[OwlRhetoric]

Sky high third party numbers seem almost believable here. Maine has a real independent streak and I think it's possible both Stein and Johnson could end up over 5%.