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  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton leading in CO (+14/+12), FL (+5), NC (+9), VA (+13/+12)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton leading in CO (+14/+12), FL (+5), NC (+9), VA (+13/+12)  (Read 6151 times)
ProudModerate2
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« Reply #75 on: August 13, 2016, 03:17:25 pm »

By the way, it looks like the Clinton campaign's internal polling is pretty damn good. They pulled out of CO/VA long before any public polls were showing her up double digits there.

Rather good point, actually. Keeping an eye on Clinton's campaign moves may be the best barometer we have on the election's status.

Agreed

Yep.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #76 on: August 13, 2016, 04:03:44 pm »

By the way, it looks like the Clinton campaign's internal polling is pretty damn good. They pulled out of CO/VA long before any public polls were showing her up double digits there.

Rather good point, actually. Keeping an eye on Clinton's campaign moves may be the best barometer we have on the election's status.

Agreed

Yep.
Lol
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #77 on: August 14, 2016, 12:32:20 pm »

I'm still looking for cross tabs has anybody found any
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #78 on: August 14, 2016, 12:39:48 pm »
« Edited: August 14, 2016, 12:45:39 pm by NOVA Green »

I'm still looking for cross tabs has anybody found any


Here's something...

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/four-takeaways-latest-battleground-polls-n629536

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/tag/election-2016/



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Virginia
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« Reply #79 on: August 14, 2016, 01:13:59 pm »
« Edited: August 14, 2016, 01:19:10 pm by Virginia »


The crosstabs for the PA Senate race are somewhat interesting:

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These are the exit polls from 2012's Senate race (Casey):

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Obviously the PA 2016 poll is early and things will change, and +4 years means many of those people from 2012 have moved up in the age brackets, but there are some funny changes there. I'm tempted to believe that when all is said and done, McGinty's support will more closely mirror Clinton's, even if it doesn't right now.

Just a thought.
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Badger
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« Reply #80 on: August 14, 2016, 06:55:34 pm »

So yeah, Trump is toast. 2008 is probably the best comparison right now.
If this trajectory keeps up 1964 might be a better comparison

slow your role, people. Hillary is NOT getting an over 20 point 44 state victory. at best she might get something comparable to a 1988 sized landslide (and even then the EC margin will be smaller).
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TG
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« Reply #81 on: August 14, 2016, 07:23:50 pm »

So yeah, Trump is toast. 2008 is probably the best comparison right now.
If this trajectory keeps up 1964 might be a better comparison

slow your role, people. Hillary is NOT getting an over 20 point 44 state victory. at best she might get something comparable to a 1988 sized landslide (and even then the EC margin will be smaller).
Party Pooper Tongue
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #82 on: August 14, 2016, 07:42:23 pm »

So yeah, Trump is toast. 2008 is probably the best comparison right now.
If this trajectory keeps up 1964 might be a better comparison

slow your role, people. Hillary is NOT getting an over 20 point 44 state victory. at best she might get something comparable to a 1988 sized landslide (and even then the EC margin will be smaller).

Obama in 2008 got almost the same share of the Presidential vote as George HW Bush got in 1988.

Hillary Clinton will definitely not get:

Alabama
Arkansas
Idaho
Kentucky
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Tennessee
West Virginia
Wyoming

She will certainly not get Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District.

I promise some interesting maps after the election...

Count on this: the Presidential election this time will not be interesting except for statistical freaks.
 
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