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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Morning Consult National (8/11-8/14): Clinton +7 in two-way, +6 in four-way
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Author Topic: Morning Consult National (8/11-8/14): Clinton +7 in two-way, +6 in four-way  (Read 884 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 14, 2016, 07:22:34 pm »
« edited: August 14, 2016, 07:31:14 pm by TN volunteer »

44% Clinton (D) (-2)
37% Trump (R) (+/-0)

39% Clinton (D) (-2)
33% Trump (R) (+/-0)
9% Johnson (L) (+/-0)
4% Stein (G) (-1)

Link.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2016, 07:29:10 pm »
« Edited: August 14, 2016, 07:31:41 pm by GeorgiaModerate »

What's the change from their previous poll? 

ETA: thanks for adding it.

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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2016, 07:32:34 pm »

What's the change from their previous poll?

Last poll was taken July 29/30, post-DNC

Clinton: 46% (+3)
Trump: 37% (-3)
No Opinion: 18% (+1)


Clinton: 41%
Trump: 33% (-3)
Johnson: 9% (-2)
Stein: 5% (N/A)
No Opinion: 13% (+1)

Trump's fallen 7 points with/without third parties since their post-RNC weekend poll. From Trump leading 44-40 to Clinton leading 46-37


https://morningconsult.com/2016/08/07/clinton-surges-past-trump-rough-week-republicans/
That poll was taken in early August. The first post DNC poll had her up 3.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't this pollster slightly more favorable to Trump?
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2016, 07:33:32 pm »

This seems in line with some of the swing state polls
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Seriously?
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« Reply #4 on: August 14, 2016, 07:42:29 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

I am not sure what a Morning Consult is, or their tilt to be quite honest, other than confusing. With the exception of the last release prior to this one, Morning Consult did seem to be to the right what NBC/WSJ/Marist is to the left in this cycle.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2016, 07:48:26 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

LOL your beloved LA Times tracking poll shows the opposite. Besides, you said the race would go back to 3-5 points last week. Maybe you should put your prognostications to rest.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #6 on: August 14, 2016, 08:05:01 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

LOL your beloved LA Times tracking poll shows the opposite. Besides, you said the race would go back to 3-5 points last week. Maybe you should put your prognostications to rest.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2016, 08:54:20 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

LOL your beloved LA Times tracking poll shows the opposite. Besides, you said the race would go back to 3-5 points last week. Maybe you should put your prognostications to rest.
Nothing is beloved by me. You red avatar hacks are the ones that think that anything but the actual numbers matter to me. I don't take a day off posting results when it is bad for my candidate.

The LA Times poll is adding interviewees at this point, probably rejiggering their model to get it more in line where things are with the other polls right now.

This election will not be a blowout. The numbers will come back down to Earth. Republicans will come home.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #8 on: August 15, 2016, 01:33:55 pm »

     Not a big name poll, but this is about where I suspect the race is at the moment. It's interesting that nobody can make inroads into the undecided block.
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Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« Reply #9 on: August 15, 2016, 01:35:06 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

LOL your beloved LA Times tracking poll shows the opposite. Besides, you said the race would go back to 3-5 points last week. Maybe you should put your prognostications to rest.


Lololol
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Seriously?
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« Reply #10 on: August 15, 2016, 01:41:14 pm »

No real shocks here. Bounce is starting to fade.

LOL your beloved LA Times tracking poll shows the opposite. Besides, you said the race would go back to 3-5 points last week. Maybe you should put your prognostications to rest.


Lololol
If you break down polls between LV and RV, I am well within that range in the LV polls at this point in time. It's the RV polls that are skewing the average. You will see what happens when these polls start going from RV to LV over the next few weeks.
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