WA- Elway Poll: Clinton +19

[pbrower2a]

Clinton leads 45-24 among likely voters. Safe, safe, super safe D

It's telling that this time, a Likely Voter screen gives Democrats an edge. I suspect that this implies a higher level of formal education on the average. Donald Trump is now doing badly with college-educated white people, usually the dream voters for Republicans of all kinds.

For now I consider a Likely Voter screen more relevant. Well-educated white voters who now reject Donald Trump are more likely to convince someone with a "Make America Great Again" cap that Donald Trump is a mistake than be convinced that Donald Trump really will make America great again.   

[pbrower2a]

Dammit, poll a close state for once

Indiana?

[pbrower2a]

Dammit, poll a close state for once

Indiana?

Something that makes me not regret clicking on this child board.

Arizona, Georgia, and Missouri have been polled a lot, and they are not supposed to be close in a close election. Obama won Indiana in 2008. South Carolina has never been close for Obama.

Then there are Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio.  Big trouble for Trump in that group.

When Trump is losing Colorado, New Hampshire, and Virginia by low-single-digit margins, then Trump is in huge trouble.

He is very close in Iowa and Nevada.

...I'd be interested in statewide polls of Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska.... don't forget Alaska.