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Author Topic: TX-PPP: Trump +6  (Read 2926 times)
Castro
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« on: August 16, 2016, 10:26:36 am »

Clinton - 44%
Trump - 50%

Clinton - 38%
Trump - 44%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 2%
McMullin - 0%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_TX_81616.pdf
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2016, 10:27:02 am »

Whoa there that's a spicy poll.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2016, 10:28:54 am »

Trump leads by 41% with Whites (64-21, 59% of electorate), which makes up for a 36% loss of hispanics (57-21, 22% of electorate) and an 88% loss of African-Americans (91-3, 12% of electorate). ("Other" is 40% Gary Johnson, 28% Clinton, 20% Trump, 6% of electorate)

Clinton leads by 2% among women (43-41, 54% of electorate), but loses men by 15% (48-33, 47% of electorate.
« Last Edit: August 16, 2016, 10:32:16 am by Sorenroy »Logged
Classic Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2016, 10:30:13 am »

Yeah that's not the best. But Trump wasn't a good fit in TX anywhere, but lol McMullin
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2016, 10:31:19 am »

Img
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2016, 10:31:41 am »

And it's pretty sad that 26% of Texans want secession
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Castro
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2016, 10:32:52 am »

Hispanic: 22%
White: 59%
African-American: 12%
Other: 6%

18 to 29: 13%
30 to 45: 21%
46 to 65: 38%
Older than 65: 28%
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Fargobison
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2016, 10:33:33 am »

Seems consistent with their SC poll.
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Castro
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2016, 10:36:01 am »

Quote
We continue to find that Trump voters overwhelmingly buy into his preemptive claims about the election being rigged. Just 19% of Trump voters grant that if Clinton wins the election it will be because she got more votes, while 71% say that it will just be because the election was rigged. More specifically 40% of Trump voters think that ACORN, which hasn't existed in years, will steal the election for Clinton to only 20% who don't think it will, and only 20% who are unsure. Some things Trump says are a step too far even for his support base though. We find that 'just' 35% of Trump supporters think Barack Obama founded ISIS, to 48% who don't think he's responsible for that.

Quote
Overall 26% of voters would support leaving the United States to 59% who want to stay, and 15% who aren't sure either way. Among Trump voters support for secession goes up to 37%, with only
49% opposed to exiting. If you look at the Presidential race in Texas only among voters who are opposed to seceding from the United State, Clinton leads Trump 54/41. But that's offset by Trump's 72/20 advantage with the secession crowd. If Clinton is elected President this fall, the Trump voters really want out- in that case 61% say they'd support seceding from the United States, to only 29% who
would stick around.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2016, 10:37:41 am »

61% of Trump supporters would support secession if Clinton wins.
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michelle
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2016, 10:37:59 am »

61% of Trump supporters would support secession if Clinton wins.

Sad!
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heatcharger
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2016, 10:38:14 am »

Trump leads 63-33 among seniors, Clinton leads 49-45 below 65.

She also leads 60-35 among voters under 45. I'm watering at the mouth for a battleground Texas in the near future.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2016, 10:39:08 am »

40% of Trump supporters (a plurality) believe that ACORN (no longer exists) will steal the election for Clinton.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2016, 10:40:20 am »

Gotta love those age splits for the future of Democratic candidates in Texas.  Clinton up 60-35 with voters under 45 is just wow!

It's messed up that 39% of Texas voters (and an overwhelming majority of Republicans) think Hillary could only win because the election was rigged for her.  Trump is a terrible human being that is toxic for our democracy.
« Last Edit: August 16, 2016, 10:42:27 am by john cage bubblegum »Logged
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2016, 10:41:00 am »

About as expected. Trump is an abysmal fit for the state and quite frankly I'm surprised that he manages to lead Clinton there. If TX is within low single digits or if Clinton wins it, this will be a one time thing.
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Castro
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« Reply #15 on: August 16, 2016, 10:41:47 am »

Trump leads Obama 48% to 46% in a hypothetical match-up continuing the trend of Obama outperforming but only slightly Clinton's results.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #16 on: August 16, 2016, 10:42:37 am »

About as expected. Trump is an abysmal fit for the state and quite frankly I'm surprised that he manages to lead Clinton there. If TX is within low single digits or if Clinton wins it, this will be one time thing.

What part of Clinton leading 60-35 among the under 45 crowd makes you think this will be a one time thing?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: August 16, 2016, 10:45:08 am »

I really hope Democrats don't get caught up in trying to win Texas.  They're just going to waste a million votes and $50M there because the last 5-10% is ungettable until the mid 2030's in any race remotely close enough to matter.

Agreed, the changes there will occur in time. Should focus more on the South Atlantic Coast (Virginia-Florida) and the Southwest (CO, NM, AZ, NV).
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Fargobison
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« Reply #18 on: August 16, 2016, 10:46:14 am »

About as expected. Trump is an abysmal fit for the state and quite frankly I'm surprised that he manages to lead Clinton there. If TX is within low single digits or if Clinton wins it, this will be one time thing.

What part of Clinton leading 60-35 among the under 45 crowd makes you think this will be a one time thing?

Donald Trump
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LaRouche Lives Forever!
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2016, 10:47:28 am »

Why is McMullin being included in the polls? He has less ballot access than the Party for Socialism and Liberation.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2016, 10:48:47 am »

Why is McMullin being included in the polls? He has less ballot access than the Party for Socialism and Liberation.

This is PPP...There is a dead ape in their polling.
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Castro
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« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2016, 10:48:51 am »

Why is McMullin being included in the polls? He has less ballot access than the Party for Socialism and Liberation.

It's probably just a one-time thing unless they also poll Utah. Regardless, he got 0%.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #22 on: August 16, 2016, 10:49:11 am »

About as expected. Trump is an abysmal fit for the state and quite frankly I'm surprised that he manages to lead Clinton there. If TX is within low single digits or if Clinton wins it, this will be one time thing.

What part of Clinton leading 60-35 among the under 45 crowd makes you think this will be a one time thing?

Donald Trump
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2016, 10:49:35 am »

Trump leads Obama 48% to 46% in a hypothetical match-up continuing the trend of Obama outperforming but only slightly Clinton's results.

And no one is attacking him right now... shows how much of this race is based on Trump/fundamentals
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #24 on: August 16, 2016, 10:51:00 am »

Not surprising, and it suggests that Arizona is very close, while Nevada is completely out of reach for Trump. Democrats shouldn't bother with Texas, but it's embarrassing for Trump that he's only up by 6.
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