Economist/YouGov National: 8/11-16 Clinton +6 (2-way)/+6 (4-way)

[Seriously?]

2-way
Hillary Clinton: 47% (-1)
Donald Trump: 41% (0)
Someone else / Not sure yet / No preference: 9%
Probably won't vote: 3%


4-way
Hillary Clinton: 41% (-1)
Donald Trump: 35% (-1)
Gary Johnson: 7% (-2)
Jill Stein: 3% (+1)
Someone else: 2%
Not sure yet: 8%
Probably won't vote: 3%

August 11-16, 2016;  1,300 adults. Registered Voters only surveyed (~910 RV) for horse race numbers.

[Maxwell]

So the lead has barely budged? Good!

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

The spread of +6 for clinton stays the same from earlier in the month...The only thing that changed is both lost a point.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html

[OwlRhetoric]

Lol, that four way, everyone except Stein losing support. Also, including "Probably Won't Vote."

[heatcharger]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

[IceSpear]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

Even an 8 point win wouldn't guarantee them the House (ugh), but it would mean they'd definitely have a shot at it.

[Boston Bread]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Hillary's margin conspicuously not declining at all.

[Seriously?]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?

I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

[Hammy]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?

I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.

[Classic Conservative]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?

I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.

That's what I thought

[Seriously?]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?

I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.

My guess is September 1 or Labor Day.

[heatcharger]

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

Even an 8 point win wouldn't guarantee them the House (ugh), but it would mean they'd definitely have a shot at it.

Agreed, but there's a certain threshold where the gerrymander turns into a dummymander, and Lean R and Likely R seats start turning blue. I'm not sure what that number is, but there are many pickup opportunities in California, Texas, and Colorado to name a few where a national victory of 8-10 points could net a lot of seats.