FL- Monmouth: Clinton +9

[Holmes]

When was the last time that a Democratic Presidential nominee won Florida by 9%?

1948. Truman won by a 15% margin, and was below 50%.

[Holmes]

This isn't good news for Trump--Wasn't Florida something like R+2 at this point in 2012?

Well, according to RCP, Romney was about 1 point ahead of Obama in Florida at this point. But a week and a half from today in 2012, the RNC began. And then the DNC began a week later, on the first week of September, and Obama led most polls of Florida throughout September. Then Obama had a disastrous first debate performance in early October and Romney led most of the polls in Florida for the remainder of the election season.

In the end, Florida was R+3 compared to the nation as a whole.

[Holmes]

You can get Clinton +9 and Rubio +5 if Cubans loathe Trump and split tickets

Uh...I'm pretty sure that even if literally every single Cuban in the state voted for Clinton and Rubio that still wouldn't be big enough to cause that gap.

Anyway, beautiful poll!

True, there are some educated whites(especially women) likely also splitting tickets.

This. It'll be the Murphy campaign and the Clinton campaign's jobs to get those women not to split their tickets.