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| | | | |-+  IA/CO/VA-Quinnipiac: Clinton +3/+2 in IA, +10/+8 in CO, +12/+11 in VA
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Author Topic: IA/CO/VA-Quinnipiac: Clinton +3/+2 in IA, +10/+8 in CO, +12/+11 in VA  (Read 3855 times)
Castro
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« on: August 17, 2016, 12:38:09 pm »

Iowa
Clinton - 47%
Trump - 44%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 12%
Stein - 3%

Colorado
Clinton - 49%
Trump - 39%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 33%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%

Virginia
Clinton - 50%
Trump - 38%

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 34%
Johnson - 11%
Stein - 5%

These polls of likely voters were conducted from August 9-16.

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2373
« Last Edit: August 17, 2016, 12:45:10 pm by Castro »Logged
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2016, 12:38:52 pm »

Wow.
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2016, 12:39:55 pm »

Looks about right. IA is definitely winnable for Trump, but CO and VA aren't.
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2016, 12:40:06 pm »

Fantastic!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2016, 12:40:22 pm »

Damn! That's stellar coming from Quinnipiac.
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2016, 12:40:34 pm »

"Clinton Has Big Leads In Colorado, Virginia, Tied In Iowa, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds"

lol what
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2016, 12:41:14 pm »

CO and VA are gone, and while IA is close, it should still go for Hillary if she can stay ahead.
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« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2016, 12:41:29 pm »

Clinton will probably win CO & VA, due to the highly educated vote. Trump is still viable in Iowa.
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2016, 12:42:05 pm »

Wow. Another poll showing Johnson has half the support Trump has in CO.

And I guess VA really is gone for Trump.
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2016, 12:42:44 pm »

Iowa
Clinton - 47%
Trump - 44%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 12%
Stein - 3%

Colorado
Clinton - 49%
Trump - 39%

Clinton - 41%
Trump - 33%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%


Virginia
Clinton - 50%
Trump - 38%

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 34%
Johnson - 11%
Stein - 5%


http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2373

These numbers should diminish a bit as we approach election day.
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2016, 12:44:57 pm »

A little music to reinforce the mood

It's Over
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« Reply #11 on: August 17, 2016, 12:46:56 pm »

Around 40% view Barack Obama 'very favourably' in each of those states.
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« Reply #12 on: August 17, 2016, 12:48:52 pm »

These numbers actually look right and that's amazing coming from Quinnipiac
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« Reply #13 on: August 17, 2016, 12:51:06 pm »

Good numbers for Johnson and Stein.

Hopefully their numbers grow in the next months, I'd like to see both Hillary and Trump being dragged down below 40% in most swing states.
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« Reply #14 on: August 17, 2016, 12:51:22 pm »

It seems like LVs have really put Quinnipiac in line with other pollsters.
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« Reply #15 on: August 17, 2016, 12:53:06 pm »

I'm sure Donnie doubling down on being Breitbart Trump will turn these numbers around...

College Whites
IA  HRC +10
CO HRC +15
VA  HRC +18

White Women
IA HRC +15
CO HRC +9
VA HRC +5
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« Reply #16 on: August 17, 2016, 12:53:45 pm »

No detectable signs of Hillary's support dipping. Third-party numbers are higher than I would have expected, but overall a very positive result.
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« Reply #17 on: August 17, 2016, 12:56:08 pm »

Wow, the race dynamics seems to stablize. Heavily in Hillary's favor. It's almost Game Over for Donny.
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« Reply #18 on: August 17, 2016, 12:56:15 pm »

Colorado and Utah are probably going to have the highest 3rd party totals. I can't wait at the very least we will get to plug in results on election atlas that have at least one third party taking 5% in a state.
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« Reply #19 on: August 17, 2016, 12:57:54 pm »

Trump's numbers in Colorado have been abysmal since the DNC. He's struggling to reach 1/3 of the vote. Wow.
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« Reply #20 on: August 17, 2016, 01:06:18 pm »

Trump is narrowly winning younger voters in Iowa, while Clinton is winning older voters by a slightly larger margin. That's different from almost every other state I've seen, but this is the second poll that has shown this in Iowa.

In Virginia, they are actually tied with folks in military households. That is awful news for Trump in the Hampton Roads area. Virginia Beach could actually flip to Democrats.
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« Reply #21 on: August 17, 2016, 01:09:16 pm »

Trump's numbers in Colorado have been abysmal since the DNC. He's struggling to reach 1/3 of the vote. Wow.

Yeah. I remember some polls of late 2014 and 2015 were Hillary was trailing almost all Republicans (Trump was polled that time) by double digits. Colorado is probably the "swing state" which fits worst for Donny. Even worse than Virginia.
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« Reply #22 on: August 17, 2016, 01:09:38 pm »

Wow, the race dynamics seems to stablize. Heavily in Hillary's favor. It's almost Game Over for Donny.

We can only hope.
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« Reply #23 on: August 17, 2016, 01:09:41 pm »

Trump is narrowly winning younger voters in Iowa, while Clinton is winning older voters by a slightly larger margin. That's different from almost every other state I've seen, but this is the second poll that has shown this in Iowa.

In Virginia, they are actually tied with folks in military households. That is awful news for Trump in the Hampton Roads area. Virginia Beach could actually flip to Democrats.

Why is this happening in Iowa of all places? Most of Iowa's younger voters are educated/have college degrees. Is it still residual bad feelings from the primary/caucus?
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« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2016, 01:10:47 pm »

Stuff I noticed/liked from this Q poll:

- The age breakdowns for Iowa are inverse of almost every other poll, with younger voters significantly favoring Trump and older voters significantly favoring Clinton.  Perhaps it's just a subsample oddity that balanced out.

- Clinton getting 16% of Republican women in VA is beautiful!  11% of Repub men is pretty impressive too.  Virginia is hopeless for Trump.

- I love looking at the Trump #s among young voters on the 4-way ballot in states like CO.  18% among 18-34 year olds, one point ahead of Jill Stein.

- Their CO sample seems pretty white, but it doesn't matter because Clinton has a 7 point lead among white voters, which is just ridic.  25 point lead with college-educated CO whites.  Fantastic.
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