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June 24, 2019, 12:23:04 pm
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton+6 in OH, IA very close  (Read 3869 times)
dspNY
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« on: August 21, 2016, 09:43:05 am »

+6 in Ohio makes sense if Clinton is +10 or +11 in PA

What the hell is going on in Iowa?
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2016, 10:23:13 am »

92% of Ohio voters in the YouGov poll are completely locked in or probably won't change. That gives Trump very little chance to reverse a 6 point deficit

87% of voters who said they were not voting for Trump (56% of the respondents overall) said there is no chance they vote for Trump
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2016, 10:33:36 am »
« Edited: August 21, 2016, 10:38:17 am by dspNY »

Additionally, there have been 15 polls taken of Ohio since June 7, when Clinton mathematically wrapped up the Democratic nomination. Clinton led in 12 polls; Trump in 2; and there was 1 tie

Trump only led by 3 in a PPP poll taken right before the RNC and by 1 in that batch of odd Quinnipiac polls of the big 3 swing states. Otherwise it is all Clinton

Iowa is a true tossup. Since July 4, Trump and Clinton have each led in 3 polls, with two ties (out of 8 polls)
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