Obviously, Flawless Beautiful Marco will win by more than 20, even if Trump gets crushed in Florida! (But I'm going to ignore the presidential poll, since its results aren't as much to my liking and don't line up with my view of reality) Split ticketing hasn't gone down at all, so I wouldn't be surprised if Kirk, Toomey, Ayotte, and Heck also win by more than 20, even if Trump loses all of those states by double digits. A Republican landslide in the Senate and House is still possible even if Hillary wins in a landslide!
No, here's how the unskewing works- the presidential poll is clearly off by at least 10, maybe 15-20, so that means that the sample is way too Democratic and Rubio is probably up close to 30!!