NM-PPP: Clinton +9, Johnson at 16%

[Redban]

Remember, PPP is all robo calls, likely underestimating Hispanic support for Clinton.

Except polls (PPP or not) were strikingly accurate in 2012:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nm/new_mexico_romney_vs_obama-2027.html#polls

In 2008, PPP also got New Mexico right while everyone else got it wrong:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nm/new_mexico_mccain_vs_obama-448.html#polls

On Election Day, the claim that polls "underestimate Hispanic support" will look like the Romney campaign's claim that the polls "oversampled minorities and registered Democrats."

[Redban]

Remember, PPP is all robo calls, likely underestimating Hispanic support for Clinton.

Except polls (PPP or not) were strikingly accurate in 2012:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nm/new_mexico_romney_vs_obama-2027.html#polls

In 2008, PPP also got New Mexico right while everyone else got it wrong:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nm/new_mexico_mccain_vs_obama-448.html#polls

On Election Day, the claim that polls "underestimate Hispanic support" will look like the Romney campaign's claim that the polls "oversampled minorities and registered Democrats."

Yeah that +5 at a similar point in time was quite accurate.

"Similar point in time" in what regard?

We're closer to early-September than early-July right now, and we're past the conventions. Hence, the 9/7 - 9/9 poll is the poll that deserves attention.

Stop cherry-picking.