Reuters/Ipsos: (Most) States
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: (Most) States  (Read 14956 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 25, 2016, 01:13:58 AM »

Obvious disclaimer: JUNK!

http://www.reuters.com/statesofthenation/



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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2016, 01:18:28 AM »

As Missouri goes, so goes Wyoming
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2016, 01:20:32 AM »

State   Clinton   Trump
California   63%   26%
Illinois   56%   30%
Maryland   53%   29%
Massachusetts   53%   30%
New York   52%   30%
Connecticut 50%37%
Florida   49%   41%
North Carolina 47%45%
Missouri   46%   41%
New Jersey46%   33%
Pennsylvania 46%45%
Ohio           45%   39%
Virginia   45%   39%
Washington45%   33%
Delaware   44%   22%
Michigan   44%   43%
New Mexico44%   41%
Oregon   43%   39%
Colorado   42%   39%
Georgia   42%   46%
Minnesota   42%   34%
Iowa   41%   41%
Kentucky   41%   47%
New Hampshire   41%   39%
South Carolina   41%   50%
Arkansas   40%   45%
Montana   40%   47%
Nevada   40%   38%
Arizona   39%   47%
West Virginia 39%48%
Louisiana   38%   48%
Mississippi   38%   52%
Wisconsin   38%   37%
Kansas   37%   48%
Alabama   36%   55%
Indiana   36%   54%
Tennessee   36%   43%
Nebraska   35%   49%
Maine   33%   37%
Utah           33%   44%
Texas   32%   46%
Idaho   30%   44%
Oklahoma   29%   58%
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2016, 01:21:58 AM »

Wyoming, DC, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, Vermont, Alaska and Hawaii were all too small for a scientific sample apparently.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2016, 01:23:22 AM »

LOL at ME, MI, WI, WY, NM, NH, and MO.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2016, 01:30:58 AM »

Why is Maine always red in these "polls" that poll every state? lol

morning consult did something similar.
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2016, 01:33:01 AM »

Why is Maine always red in these "polls" that poll every state? lol

morning consult did something similar.

Probably assuming that DJT will win by such a huge margin in the 2nd District that it'll offset Hillary's margin in the 1st, in my opinion. But yeah Trump isn't winning Maine.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2016, 01:33:33 AM »

And this is why you poll states individually (or maybe two at a time), rather than doing a bunch at once. You'll always end up with nonsensical results.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2016, 01:35:44 AM »

I hope no one enters this into the database.
Yeah that definitely was not my intent.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2016, 08:24:27 AM »

Strange to say the least.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: August 25, 2016, 08:30:10 AM »


No, just Reuters.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #11 on: August 25, 2016, 08:36:59 AM »

I am contractually obligated to say that ipsos is a junk pollster (opt-in panels = bad)
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #12 on: August 26, 2016, 08:46:07 PM »

Lol... I remember when Ipsos was basically Clinton's L.A. Times. Now they're just trash...
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2016, 09:13:20 PM »

South Carolina = Likely R
This = trash
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2016, 09:31:33 PM »

538's data from Reuters shows Clinton surging in South Carolina while Trump is simultaneously surging in New Hampshire.

There is no universe in existence where those two things are simultaneously true. This is just utter garbage.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2016, 09:41:38 PM »

Haven't heard a peep about this from the media, but ol' Nate has it...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/kentucky

Of all places, Kentucky is actually in play.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #16 on: August 26, 2016, 09:43:44 PM »

Do we need any more evidence that Reuters is pure trash?

Also, there's already a thread about this.

I thought that was a different Reuters poll.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #17 on: August 26, 2016, 09:43:54 PM »

This is from the thing in this thread.  Reuters in junk.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #18 on: August 26, 2016, 09:44:17 PM »

This poll also has Trump +7 in WV, Clinton +3 in CO, and Trump +3 in WI. Sad that Nate thinks these small sample polls are worth anything.

Do we need any more evidence that Reuters is pure trash?

Also, there's already a thread about this.

I thought that was a different Reuters poll.

I think Reuters is polling all the states (except a few) like a tracking poll. Which is a joke.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #19 on: August 26, 2016, 09:49:14 PM »

Do we need any more evidence that Reuters is pure trash?

Also, there's already a thread about this.
More like, "Do we need any more evidence that Bandit is a pure troll?"
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #20 on: August 26, 2016, 09:49:49 PM »

lel
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #21 on: August 26, 2016, 09:50:59 PM »

But I thought that if polls in a state show a close race, that makes voting history and demographics irrelevant! Just like Nevada, Kentucky is a toss-up, I'll be shocked if Trump wins by more than 5, and I wouldn't be surprised if Hillary wins it.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #22 on: August 26, 2016, 09:55:30 PM »

But I thought that if polls in a state show a close race, that makes voting history and demographics irrelevant! Just like Nevada, Kentucky is a toss-up, I'll be shocked if Trump wins by more than 5, and I wouldn't be surprised if Hillary wins it.

I can see Louisville, Lexington, Frankfort, and university areas offsetting the coal areas a little bit. Of course, it might not be enough to cost Trump the state. On the other hand, are we absolutely positive Trump isn't collapsing in the coal areas like he is everywhere else?

After all, there was this interview where Trump said miners were stupid...

http://www.barefootandprogressive.com/2016/02/donald-trump-as-clueless-about-coal-miners-as-kentuckys-political-leaders.html
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Seriously?
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« Reply #23 on: August 26, 2016, 09:58:07 PM »
« Edited: August 26, 2016, 10:04:43 PM by Seriously? »

Haven't heard a peep about this from the media, but ol' Nate has it...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/kentucky

Of all places, Kentucky is actually in play.
This same updated pile of junk now has Trump ahead by 14 in New Hampshire. Trump also leads in Wisconsin and Michigan (unlikely). Hillary leads in Nebraska.

They somehow have "insufficient data" to give Hillary DC and Hawaii. And Trump Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming and Alaska.

Until the kinks are all ironed out or they have more respondents, these polls are probably as bad as the YouGov effort of every state four years ago.
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dspNY
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« Reply #24 on: August 26, 2016, 10:02:31 PM »

LOL no. Just throw everything Reuters/Ipsos does in the trash regardless of who it favors
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