There's been like 6 polls all in a row showing Rubio leading by 3-8. We easily call New Hampshire 'Lean D' when there's a few polls showing Hassan up 4 or 5. People here just HATE Rubio, and want him to lose badly that they're having a hard time accepting he has somewhat of an advantage right now.
I can't speak for others, but the reason why I still have FL as a Toss-Up is the primary hasn't happened yet. Remember how Begich looked okay for much of 2014, then after the primary he quickly lost his lead and never recovered?
This. Remember when Teflon Toomey was up by a good margin against McGinty, who many people on here don't like (including Wulfric)?
Yeah, technically
as of right now Rubio is a clear favorite, but it's pretty fair to assume this race will tighten up in the next month.