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Author Topic: Pennsylvania - Emerson Polling: Clinton + 3  (Read 2991 times)
dfwlibertylover
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« on: August 29, 2016, 02:10:33 am »
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https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/770148497311969280

Clinton - 46
Trump - 43
Johnson - 7
Stein - 2
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 02:21:57 am »
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Wow...
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 02:24:41 am »
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Cross tabs?
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A Liberal LGBT in one of the most pro LGBT cities in the country.

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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 02:29:23 am »
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Cross tabs?
Probably in the AM. It's not on their website yet.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 02:55:58 am »
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Weak for Clinton. PA shouldn't be close at all right now.
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2016, 04:25:31 am »
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Weak for Clinton. PA shouldn't be close at all right now.

We'll just have to see whether an outlier or part of a trend.

But looking at the other state numbers they seem on the overall low side for Clinton... hopefully some other more regular state pollsters come out soon.
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2016, 04:27:50 am »
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Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2016, 04:29:28 am »
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Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2016, 04:32:19 am »
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Seems like the preponderance of evidence is indeed pointing to a tightening race...
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2016, 05:08:26 am »
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Seems like the preponderance of evidence is indeed pointing to a tightening race...

Best to wait...
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2016, 05:11:33 am »
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It's good that there is no ridiculously high "Undecided" number this time. Wish they would have polled a head to head contest.
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MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2016, 05:43:08 am »
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I was bit worried and then I saw their poll in Michigan, only +5, not going to happen lol.
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2016, 05:43:40 am »
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It's good that there is no ridiculously high "Undecided" number this time. Wish they would have polled a head to head contest.
Why is this good? There is, clearly, a high number of undeciders. A good poll should reflect it:-\
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« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2016, 05:45:31 am »
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I was bit worried and then I saw their poll in Michigan, only +5, not going to happen lol.
They seem to have a house effect +R 1-3
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« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2016, 05:46:51 am »
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Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!
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« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 06:12:09 am »
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Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!

Actually, I'm still incredibly wary of any national PPP poll. They were horrible in 2012 on that front.
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« Reply #16 on: August 29, 2016, 06:16:06 am »
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Great news.
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« Reply #17 on: August 29, 2016, 06:37:53 am »
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Encouraging!
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #18 on: August 29, 2016, 06:47:10 am »
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Probably the worst set of polls for Clinton since before the DNC.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: August 29, 2016, 06:56:25 am »
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Emerson is a B on 538 (decent, but not amazing) with a R+1.3 bias (you add that to these polls and they appear to be within the ballpark of the current averages).
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« Reply #20 on: August 29, 2016, 07:02:24 am »
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Emerson is a B on 538 (decent, but not amazing) with a R+1.3 bias (you add that to these polls and they appear to be within the ballpark of the current averages).
When you say R+1.3, does that mean that the margin skew 1.3 point to the GOP or that GOPers have a score 1.3 points higher with this institute?
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« Reply #21 on: August 29, 2016, 07:04:19 am »
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Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.

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« Reply #22 on: August 29, 2016, 07:11:11 am »
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Probably the worst set of polls for Clinton since before the DNC.

No, she was struggling in Iowa & NV too. The polls taken as of late were surges. But she can will like Obama did with 3.5 million votes.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #23 on: August 29, 2016, 07:22:20 am »
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Is this an LV or RV?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #24 on: August 29, 2016, 07:25:47 am »
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Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.



They picked the winner but they released some terrible polls.

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=232469.0

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=230281.0

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227905.0

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=210801.0
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