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  Pennsylvania - Emerson Polling: Clinton + 3
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania - Emerson Polling: Clinton + 3  (Read 4300 times)
dfwlibertylover
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« on: August 29, 2016, 02:10:33 am »

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/770148497311969280

Clinton - 46
Trump - 43
Johnson - 7
Stein - 2
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Lok
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 02:24:41 am »

Cross tabs?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 02:29:23 am »

Probably in the AM. It's not on their website yet.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 02:55:58 am »

Weak for Clinton. PA shouldn't be close at all right now.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 04:25:31 am »

Weak for Clinton. PA shouldn't be close at all right now.

We'll just have to see whether an outlier or part of a trend.

But looking at the other state numbers they seem on the overall low side for Clinton... hopefully some other more regular state pollsters come out soon.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2016, 04:27:50 am »

Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2016, 04:29:28 am »

Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2016, 04:32:19 am »

Seems like the preponderance of evidence is indeed pointing to a tightening race...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2016, 05:08:26 am »

Seems like the preponderance of evidence is indeed pointing to a tightening race...

Best to wait...
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2016, 05:43:08 am »

I was bit worried and then I saw their poll in Michigan, only +5, not going to happen lol.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2016, 05:43:40 am »

It's good that there is no ridiculously high "Undecided" number this time. Wish they would have polled a head to head contest.
Why is this good? There is, clearly, a high number of undeciders. A good poll should reflect it:-\
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2016, 05:45:31 am »

I was bit worried and then I saw their poll in Michigan, only +5, not going to happen lol.
They seem to have a house effect +R 1-3
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2016, 05:46:51 am »

Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2016, 06:12:09 am »

Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!

Actually, I'm still incredibly wary of any national PPP poll. They were horrible in 2012 on that front.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2016, 06:16:06 am »

Great news.
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Buzz
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« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 06:37:53 am »

Encouraging!
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #16 on: August 29, 2016, 06:47:10 am »

Probably the worst set of polls for Clinton since before the DNC.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: August 29, 2016, 06:56:25 am »

Emerson is a B on 538 (decent, but not amazing) with a R+1.3 bias (you add that to these polls and they appear to be within the ballpark of the current averages).
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #18 on: August 29, 2016, 07:02:24 am »

Emerson is a B on 538 (decent, but not amazing) with a R+1.3 bias (you add that to these polls and they appear to be within the ballpark of the current averages).
When you say R+1.3, does that mean that the margin skew 1.3 point to the GOP or that GOPers have a score 1.3 points higher with this institute?
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #19 on: August 29, 2016, 07:04:19 am »

Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.

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Cory Booker
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« Reply #20 on: August 29, 2016, 07:11:11 am »

Probably the worst set of polls for Clinton since before the DNC.

No, she was struggling in Iowa & NV too. The polls taken as of late were surges. But she can will like Obama did with 3.5 million votes.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #21 on: August 29, 2016, 07:22:20 am »

Is this an LV or RV?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #22 on: August 29, 2016, 07:25:47 am »

Excuse me but since when Emerson polls became the gospel of truth?
These guys were among the worst during the primaries.



They picked the winner but they released some terrible polls.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=232469.0

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=230281.0

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227905.0

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=210801.0
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Redban
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« Reply #23 on: August 29, 2016, 07:27:46 am »

Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!

Actually, I'm still incredibly wary of any national PPP poll. They were horrible in 2012 on that front.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html#polls

PPP didn't seem to perform any national polls last time, and every other pollster appeared to get the national percentages wrong. 2012 was just a bad year for pollsters.
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dspNY
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« Reply #24 on: August 29, 2016, 07:31:30 am »

These are a little too generous to trump but I wouldn't completely throw them in the trash because Emerson did well in the primaries like Monmouth
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