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  Pennsylvania - Emerson Polling: Clinton + 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania - Emerson Polling: Clinton + 3  (Read 4299 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


« on: August 29, 2016, 04:25:31 am »

Weak for Clinton. PA shouldn't be close at all right now.

We'll just have to see whether an outlier or part of a trend.

But looking at the other state numbers they seem on the overall low side for Clinton... hopefully some other more regular state pollsters come out soon.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 05:08:26 am »

Seems like the preponderance of evidence is indeed pointing to a tightening race...

Best to wait...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 06:12:09 am »

Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!

Actually, I'm still incredibly wary of any national PPP poll. They were horrible in 2012 on that front.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 07:36:43 am »

Anyway,
PPP will post their results for the general election this week, so if indeed the race has tightened, PPP will be a good indicator!

Actually, I'm still incredibly wary of any national PPP poll. They were horrible in 2012 on that front.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html#polls

PPP didn't seem to perform any national polls last time, and every other pollster appeared to get the national percentages wrong. 2012 was just a bad year for pollsters.

They did, but for clients like Daily Kos. They were universally terrible.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 07:38:17 pm »

Honestly.... I think just bad samples. You can explain a lot with this or that, but to that degree?
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