Home 2018 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 21, 2019, 01:26:43 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7 		« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7  (Read 1642 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,409
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 29, 2016, 08:45:55 am »
Ohio

Rob Portman (R, inc.): 40%
Ted Strickland (D): 25%

Portman favorability: 41/35 (+6)
Strickland favorability: 26/54 (-28)

Pennsylvania

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 46%
Katie McGinty (D): 39%

Toomey favorability: 35/38 (-3)
McGinty favorability: 28/39 (-11)

Link.
« Last Edit: August 29, 2016, 09:32:00 am by TN volunteer »Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,105
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 08:52:22 am »
wut
Logged
"Human beings are not much. But they may still be much more."
King Francis I
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,641
France


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 09:00:15 am »
That confirms this pollster is junk lol. I know Portman is leading, but Strickland is definitely not at 25%.  And regarding PA, most polls have shown a close race in Mcginty's favour, so Toomey, while him leading is clearly a possibility, isn't leading by 7 points.
Logged
Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 09:00:22 am »
How stupid are the people of Atlas to believe this crap? Give me a break, folks!
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,870
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 09:04:35 am »
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.
Logged
United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of wonderful California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,264
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2016, 09:08:05 am »
Junk. Portman is up, but not by this much. Also, this is one of the very few PA-Sen polls I've seen since Clinton's post convention bump faded. I'd say Portman is up by 5 or 6, while Toomey is up by 1.
Logged
Endorsements:
AZ-SEN: Martha McSally
FL-SEN: Rick Scott
IN-SEN: Mike Braun
MI-SEN: John James
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley
MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale
NV-SEN: Dean Heller
OH-SEN: Jim Renacci
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
TN-SEN: Marsha Blackburn
TX-SEN: Ted Cruz
WV-SEN: Patrick Morrisey
FL-GOV: Ron DeSantis
OH-GOV: Mike DeWine
TX-GOV: Greg Abbott
WI-GOV: Scott Walker
NH-GOV: Molly Kelly
NH-02: Annie Kuster
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,409
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2016, 09:25:18 am »
Quote from: heatcharger on August 29, 2016, 09:00:22 am
How stupid are the people of Atlas to believe this crap? Give me a break, folks!

Can you unskew the polls for us?

Anyway, I think PA is still a Tossup and will remain so until election day, but Ohio... I am moving it to Likely R.
« Last Edit: August 29, 2016, 09:27:43 am by TN volunteer »Logged
populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2016, 09:31:43 am »
Quote from: TN volunteer on August 29, 2016, 09:25:18 am
Quote from: heatcharger on August 29, 2016, 09:00:22 am
How stupid are the people of Atlas to believe this crap? Give me a break, folks!

Can you unskew the polls for us?

First of all, Emerson has a significant R lean. Everyone knows this. The last 3 PA polls from Quinnipiac, Susquehanna, and Marist, had McGinty +3/+4. You really believe Toomey has gained 10+ points since three weeks ago? I don't think so. This race is Lean D until I see some non-junk polls.

As for Ohio, yeah, Portman is leading, probably by upper single digits as this point, but any poll that has 35% undecided shouldn't be taken seriously.
« Last Edit: August 29, 2016, 09:39:23 am by heatcharger »Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,091
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2016, 09:32:01 am »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on August 29, 2016, 09:04:35 am
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.

It won't because as long as Pa remains a tossup Trump can't win without Iowa.
Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,485
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2016, 09:36:55 am »
Quote from: Da-Jon on August 29, 2016, 09:32:01 am
Quote from: MohamedChalid on August 29, 2016, 09:04:35 am
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.

It won't because as long as Pa remains a tossup Trump can't win without Iowa.

Uh, FL/OH/PA equals 270. Tossup means roughly equal chance for both sides.
Logged
LINCOLN - VOTE NO ON THE FLAWED PHILADELPHIA PLAN!!!!

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,091
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2016, 09:41:18 am »
You should known by now the 538 272 model Pa/Iowa/NH/CO/NV/Me 2. Strickland isnt at 25%. QU is more reliable.
Logged
Leahy16
Newbie
*
Posts: 6
Germany


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2016, 09:42:10 am »
This is terrible... Our chances for the senate getting harder. NH, WI, NV, IL?
Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,091
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2016, 09:56:34 am »
FL, NH, IN, IL, WI will get us to 51 and NV a tossup. But McGinty can win
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2016, 10:34:54 am »
Junk.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,909
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2016, 11:02:25 am »
McGinty seems like exactly the sort of candidate who would be able to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory (and while Emerson leans R I don't think they lean so R that the D is leading when they show R up by 7 points), but I'd still wait for confirmation on this poll.
Logged
Quote from: Vosem on October 24, 2016, 08:27:48 pm
I will NOT be accepting any result other than a victory for America's next President, Governor Gary Earl Johnson Angry
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,486
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 11:21:17 am »
These results call into question their presidential numbers.
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,101
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 29, 2016, 04:41:42 pm »
Land-line only. Pure junk.
Logged
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,609
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 29, 2016, 07:02:17 pm »
These polls are trash and mean nothing, but the D internal showing Evan Bayh up by 18 in Indiana means he's definitely favored. [/RedAvatarLogic]
Logged
Say NO to mediocrity!
#FireGarPax
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 30, 2016, 12:11:18 pm »
Quote from: publicunofficial on August 29, 2016, 04:41:42 pm
Land-line only. Pure junk.

Bad!
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2016, 06:59:20 pm »
35% undecided? lmao
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines