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Author Topic: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4  (Read 1148 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 30, 2016, 12:02:32 pm »

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_083016/

McGinty - 45%
Toomey - 41%

Lean D!
« Last Edit: August 30, 2016, 12:06:48 pm by heatcharger »Logged
swf541
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2016, 12:04:03 pm »

Race change for me from tossup to tilt d

Still rather hilarious we went from OH being more likely to flip dem than PA and now OH looks like its likely r
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2016, 12:04:57 pm »

Wow, this is actually getting scary now.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2016, 12:05:51 pm »

Wow, this is actually getting scary beautiful now.

Toomey's not coming back folks. It was cute how people thought he would survive the wrath of Trump. Now he's only outperforming him by 4 points!
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2016, 12:09:31 pm »

Race change for me from tossup to tilt d

Still rather hilarious we went from OH being more likely to flip dem than PA and now OH looks like its likely r

I still remember the good ol' Quinnipiac polls from 2015 showing Strickland 9 points ahead of Portman while Toomey was up like 18 points, lol.

That being said, I'll give Toomey the benefit fo the doubt and still rate PA a Tossup. Looks as If I was right and this will be the bellwether Senate race.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: August 30, 2016, 12:15:57 pm »

Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: August 30, 2016, 12:17:56 pm »

Wow, this is actually getting scary now.

Aren't you pumped for Senators Duckworth and McGinty? Cheesy

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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2016, 12:18:55 pm »

Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.

But he's so moderate...
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Southern Speaker & Acting Southern Gov Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2016, 12:20:44 pm »

Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.
This is my posture.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2016, 12:21:42 pm »

Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.

But he's so moderate...

I can think of only 3 or 4 Senators that I would consider "moderate".
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: August 30, 2016, 12:33:40 pm »

Incumbents who are down 4 points and at 41% in August rarely go on to win. He's screwed.
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JMT
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« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2016, 12:40:26 pm »

Yeah, I still wouldn't count out Toomey entirely, but McGinty is the clear favorite and I fully expect her to win in November.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #12 on: August 30, 2016, 12:44:17 pm »

Wuuuuut,
I'm schocked guys, although Monmouth has some flaws (although it's not totally garbage though)
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swf541
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2016, 12:49:16 pm »

Race change for me from tossup to tilt d

Still rather hilarious we went from OH being more likely to flip dem than PA and now OH looks like its likely r

I still remember the good ol' Quinnipiac polls from 2015 showing Strickland 9 points ahead of Portman while Toomey was up like 18 points, lol.

That being said, I'll give Toomey the benefit fo the doubt and still rate PA a Tossup. Looks as If I was right and this will be the bellwether Senate race.

Agreed on it being the bellwether either PA or NC imo
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Bismarck
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« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2016, 02:14:57 pm »

So basically Toomey has to hold out for two possibilities. Either Trump is able to improve by 3-4 points nationally which is certainly possible, or McGinty needs to implode.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2016, 05:18:15 pm »

Pa, NH, IN, IL WI and FL 52/48 Senate.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #16 on: August 30, 2016, 07:56:48 pm »

Are we going to ignore Emerson?
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2016, 02:59:51 am »

Are we going to ignore Emerson?

Yes, absolutely, why wouldn't we?
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morgieb
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2016, 03:35:11 am »

Are we going to ignore Emerson?
Well...it's worth noting that every other poll I've seen this month had McGinty ahead. I'm willing to say that's an outlier.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2016, 08:51:39 am »

Are we going to ignore Emerson?
Well...it's worth noting that every other poll I've seen this month had McGinty ahead. I'm willing to say that's an outlier.
It's also worth noting that it robo-called landlines only.
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