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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Clinton +3  (Read 2882 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 31, 2016, 12:22:18 pm »

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2016/08/31/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-clinton-edge-over-trump-narrowing-to-pre-convention-levels-among-wisconsin-voters/

RV:
Clinton - 42%
Trump - 37%


Clinton - 37%
Trump - 32%
Johnson - 11%
Stein - 7%

LV:
Clinton - 45%
Trump - 42%


Clinton - 41%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 10%
Stein - 4%
« Last Edit: August 31, 2016, 01:26:18 pm by heatcharger »Logged

Seriously?
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2016, 12:24:04 pm »

Glorious news from the gold standard in Wisconsin. The surge is real!
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2016, 12:24:22 pm »

I've always said that this state would tighten significantly...
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xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2016, 12:25:13 pm »

Potentially significant, but it could also just be noise. Polls tightened in July, and we saw what happened after that.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2016, 12:25:20 pm »

Glorious news from the gold standard in Wisconsin. The surge is real!

Trump isn't going to win WI. When everyone votes in Presidential election years it's now out of reach, especially for someone like Trump.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2016, 12:26:22 pm »

Wowzers
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2016, 12:26:39 pm »

LA Times still is JUUUUUUNK!!!111
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Ronnie
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2016, 12:26:47 pm »

I am more than confident the good people of Wisconsin will pull through for Hillary.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2016, 12:26:54 pm »

It's tightened in WI, but I'd bet a lot of money that even in a close election that Trump will not overcome those last several points in this state specifically.
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Arch
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« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2016, 12:27:14 pm »

Keep living the pipe dream that Trump will win this state.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2016, 12:29:35 pm »

Who could know...
If only we had any nationall poll that it was constitent with. Wait..!
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2016, 12:30:55 pm »

I've always said that this state would tighten significantly...
But you said today, that polling of WI was not intresting? Huh
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2016, 12:32:09 pm »

LA Times still is JUUUUUUNK!!!111

Yes it is.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2016, 12:32:22 pm »

Yeah, pretty clear that the bounce has faded back to the pre-convention baseline. Still, aside from some junk from Ipsos, not one Trump lead in WI this year.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2016, 12:32:42 pm »

Ouch for Hillary. Imagine if the Republicans had nominated anyone but Trump.
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marty
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« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2016, 12:33:10 pm »

If trump's down 3 in WI, he is probably close to tying it in ohio and iowa.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2016, 12:33:57 pm »

Uhhh, does Marquette even bother to explain a 12-point swing during the most inactive month of the campaign?
I mean maybe Clinton called the Wisconsin voters "dumbasses" and somehow I missed that.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2016, 12:35:07 pm »

Uhhh, does Marquette even bother to explain a 12-point swing during the most inactive month of the campaign?
I mean maybe Clinton called the Wisconsin voters "dumbasses" and somehow I missed that.

Or did she mispronounce the name of their football field?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2016, 12:35:14 pm »

I've always said that this state would tighten significantly...
But you said today, that polling of WI was not intresting? Huh

No?
My bad Embarrassed

 It was
Both campaigns seem to understand just how "competitive" Wisconsin is, so I'm not sure we need that many WI polls right now. What I really want is a SD poll! Wink
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michelle
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« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2016, 12:36:23 pm »

Trump will probably get around 42% in the end. So I wouldn't call this a junk poll.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2016, 12:36:59 pm »

LA Times still is JUUUUUUNK!!!111

Yes it is.
That its trend was highly consistent, does not count, huh? OK. We'll wait for ABC nationall poll. Don't be shocked when it shows the same trend Smiley
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #21 on: August 31, 2016, 12:37:18 pm »

Trump simply cannot overcome a 28-63 approval spread, even if Hillary has a pretty high unfavorable rating herself.
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« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2016, 12:37:44 pm »

Marquette is a junk liberal pollster trying to get Trump to waste money there.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #23 on: August 31, 2016, 12:39:47 pm »

The bright side of this is that it could convince the Trump campaign to take on the typical "OMG! WISCONSIN IS TOTALLY WINNABLE/A TOSS-UP/TRENDING R! RED WISCONSIN HERE WE COME! W00T!" and waste money here.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #24 on: August 31, 2016, 12:40:28 pm »

Hillary needs to recover her approval ratings. Trump has such a low ceiling that shes still winning right now.
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