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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
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Author Topic: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4  (Read 872 times)
Castro
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« on: August 31, 2016, 05:17:53 pm »

Trump - 44%
Clinton - 40%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 1%

Poll was of 1,244 likely Arizona voters conducted on August 27th.

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/08/31/exclusive-breitbartgravis-arizona-presidential-poll-trump-44-clinton-40-with-johnson-8-stein-1/
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2016, 05:18:19 pm »

So Clinton is in the lead?
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2016, 05:18:51 pm »

Breitbart is only able to put Trump up 4 in AZ?

Tossup. Bill McInturff, John McCain's pollster, is right (Clinton and Trump are essentially even in AZ)
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Arch
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« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2016, 05:20:31 pm »

It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...
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NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
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« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2016, 05:24:16 pm »

If Breibart can only find Trump up 4 in AZ, the state is definitely in play.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2016, 05:29:11 pm »

If Breibart can only find Trump up 4 in AZ, the state is definitely in play.
Despite all the polls, you're playing this!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2016, 05:30:36 pm »

Why don't you liberals trust the firm that showed Paul Nehlen and Carlos Beruff in striking distance from their primary foes?
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2016, 05:38:47 pm »

It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.
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Arch
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2016, 05:56:39 pm »

It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.

This is what I meant.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: August 31, 2016, 06:50:24 pm »

It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.

This is what I meant.

Nate Silver had an interesting article earlier today or yesterday that indicates that in terms of statewide polarization compared to national PVI. 2016 thus far appears to be less significantly polarized than in recent election cycles and essentially reversing a trend that been occurring since the early '90s
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2016, 08:08:03 pm »

So Breitbart shows Trump up 4. That other D-friendly poll shows Hillary up 1. Internals show a dead heat. It's starting to look like that CNN poll was an outlier.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: August 31, 2016, 08:09:36 pm »

A poll by Breitbart is the best news for Democrats on what must be the most dreadful day in polling this year for them.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2016, 08:14:09 pm »

A poll by Breitbart is the best news for Democrats on what must be the most dreadful day in polling this year for them.

Er...what? It wasn't exactly a great day of polling for Democrats, but Hillary still leads by 2-6 points in every national poll. In late May and late July the race was a dead heat, with Trump even slightly ahead in the aggregate.

I knew your guys' standards would get way too high from a temporary convention bounce...
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #13 on: August 31, 2016, 08:14:54 pm »

So Breitbart shows Trump up 4. That other D-friendly poll shows Hillary up 1. Internals show a dead heat. It's starting to look like that CNN poll was an outlier.
Img
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Trapsy
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2016, 08:19:57 pm »

Img


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/27/us/politics/donald-trump-minority-voters-hispanic-latino-west.html
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2016, 10:36:44 pm »

So Clinton is in the lead?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2016, 10:45:16 pm »

It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

I imagine Arizona is one of the most polarized states in the country right now.  Full of both red-hot Trump supporters, and people who have a seething, visceral hatred of him.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: September 01, 2016, 12:38:35 am »

Keep chasing that fool's gold....
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