IBD/TIPP - National - Clinton +1 (2-way)/TIE (4-way)

[Seriously?]

IBD/TIPP (2-way) Clinton +1
Clinton 44%
Trump 43%

IBD/TIPP (4-way) Tie
Trump 39%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 12%
Stein 3%

861 LV; August 26-September 1; MOE +/- 3.4%

Article: http://www.investors.com/politics/clinton-and-trump-are-tied-in-latest-ibdtipp-poll/
Crosstabs: http://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/POSTING_Tables_Sep2016_Horserace_Registered_And-_Likely-Voters.pdf

A- 538 pollster. Most accurate pollster in the last 3 cycles. RV to LV switch for this poll.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

This sort of national poll suggests some of the state polls may have been skewed.

Yes, indeed!

[Ebsy]

Pretty amazing that Trump still doesn't lead when a poll finds them with identical favorability ratings. Not good for him at all.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Pretty amazing that Trump still doesn't lead when a poll finds them with identical favorability ratings. Not good for him at all.

Pretty amazing, that you fond this part most worthy to comment.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Compared to    JUL. 29-AUG. 4   IBD/TIPP, that was a RV poll

IBD/TIPP (2-way) Clinton +1 (-6)
Clinton 44% (-2)
Trump 43% (+4)

IBD/TIPP (4-way) Tie (-4)
Trump 39% (+0)
Clinton 39% (+4)
Johnson 12% (+0)
Stein 3%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I’ve spend so many late nights spiking my whiskey with tears
Writing songs I thought nobody would hear
Praying to the stars for a second chance somehow
Well here I stand and my time is now!

I believe I’m gonna make it, little by little
This time I won’t break it, no, little by little
So come on, come on, come on, darling give it to me little by little
Believe me when I say to you, little by little! (Ulf Nillson, Swede )

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7rivJpBha4

[Landslide Lyndon]

Jfern's favorite polling firm strikes again.
FTR, 10 days before the election of 2008 they showed Obama 1 point ahead of McCain.

[Fusionmunster]

Posting 3 times in a row, surely thats worth a scolding.

[Matty]

Posting 3 times in a row, surely thats worth a scolding.

Living in New Jersey, surely that's worth a scolding.

[Fusionmunster]

Posting 3 times in a row, surely thats worth a scolding.

Living in New Jersey, surely that's worth a scolding.

I know how to edit my posts if I have something new to say.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Posting 3 times in a row, surely thats worth a scolding.

Stop go off-topic, troll

What do you thins about this poll? How junky is this poll according to your junkymeter?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

In weeks Dems were complaining about junky online polls. Now when we've got a bunch of those, there is no hack here commenting the results.

Wonder why!

I wonder how
I wonder why
Yesterday you told me 'bout the blue blue sky
And all that I can see is just a yellow orange lemon-tree...

[Erich Maria Remarque]

There is at least good news: this is a poll that possibly might be in the average for the debates and one of the polls I'd peg as being most favourable to Johnson (with both major candidates under 40% in the 4-way) and he still cannot reach 15%.  This is a good sign for Johnson not getting into the debates which would only further damage Clinton and further enable a Trump victory.  While it is comfortable that Trump still struggles to reach 40% in the 4-way polls; it is uncomfortable seeing Clinton dip down to that point as well.

Great news!

[Maxwell]

Not good!

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Not good!

Not good, but great!

[LLR]

Fun crosstabs (no judgment as to how good/bad they are):

-Johnson at 33%, Trump at 17% among 18-24s
-Clinton down only 3 with 65+
-33 point gender gap
-Johnson getting 17% of males
-Clinton only down 15 with whites, and yet poll is tied.

[Maxwell]

Fun crosstabs (no judgment as to how good/bad they are):

-Johnson at 33%, Trump at 17% among 18-24s
-Clinton down only 3 with 65+
-33 point gender gap
-Johnson getting 17% of males
-Clinton only down 15 with whites, and yet poll is tied.

yeah Trump has to be up over 20 with whites for it to be a win.

[Wells]

I decided to do something I used to do earlier. I took the crosstabs and plugged it into demographic calculators to see what it got. (Assuming turnout is the same as 2012.)

Clinton 303/50.7%
Trump 235/47.6%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Unskew the polls!

[Senator-elect Spark]

Lol race is tied

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Lol literally the only person in America that can make an election against Trump close.