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Author Topic: NH-WMUR: Hassan +2  (Read 845 times)
heatcharger
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« on: September 01, 2016, 05:46:13 pm »

https://wmur.relaymedia.com/amp/politics/wmur-poll-us-senate-battle-remains-virtual-dead-heat-with-hassan-holding-small-lead/41474678

Hassan - 44%
Ayotte - 42%
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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2016, 06:08:24 pm »

Hmmm, this is looking a bit tighter than I'd hoped, but I guess I shouldn't be concerned, because 42% is probably Ayotte's ceiling... Right, TNVolsenburg?
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2016, 11:17:42 pm »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by University of New Hampshire on 2016-08-28

Summary: D: 44%, R: 42%, I: 3%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2016, 01:24:31 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2016, 01:37:59 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.

Did you see that Climbing Maggie leads Ayotte's male primary opponent by 24 points? lol
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2016, 01:43:15 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.

Did you see that Climbing Maggie leads Ayotte's male primary opponent by 24 points? lol

Yeah, but I wish Jim Rubens was Ayotte's Democratic opponent, lol.
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RRusso1982
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2016, 02:20:07 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.


Ummm, did Ayotte not win with 60% of the vote just 6 years ago?
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #7 on: September 02, 2016, 04:37:30 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.


Ummm, did Ayotte not win with 60% of the vote just 6 years ago?

Well, her opponent was a male sacrificial lamb who was associated with a black man in the White House. Joe Manchin won with more than 60% in WV in 2012, that doesn't make WV a swing state.

Also this poll really seems to be fake:  Ayotte leads Hassan by 8 points in NH-02 (46%-38%). NH-02 is a Democratic stronghold, represented in Congress by Ann Kuster, who easily beat her Hispanic Democratic opponent in 2014 by double digits. There is no way Ayotte is up in NH-02, much less by 8 points. This poll also showed Ann Kuster only up 6 points against her unknown opponents. So to me it seems as if this poll was done in hopes of tricking Republicans to waste money in the Senate race and in NH-02. Not to mention that despite all the negative coverage Hassan has received recently, she STILL leads Ayotte by 2 in this fake poll. Republicans need to concede this race and focus on winnable states.
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« Reply #8 on: September 02, 2016, 06:15:05 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.


Ummm, did Ayotte not win with 60% of the vote just 6 years ago?

Well, her opponent was a male sacrificial lamb who was associated with a black man in the White House. Joe Manchin won with more than 60% in WV in 2012, that doesn't make WV a swing state.

Also this poll really seems to be fake:  Ayotte leads Hassan by 8 points in NH-02 (46%-38%). NH-02 is a Democratic stronghold, represented in Congress by Ann Kuster, who easily beat her Hispanic Democratic opponent in 2014 by double digits. There is no way Ayotte is up in NH-02, much less by 8 points. This poll also showed Ann Kuster only up 6 points against her unknown opponents. So to me it seems as if this poll was done in hopes of tricking Republicans to waste money in the Senate race and in NH-02. Not to mention that despite all the negative coverage Hassan has received recently, she STILL leads Ayotte by 2 in this fake poll. Republicans need to concede this race and focus on winnable states.

WMUR is in cahoots with the Dems?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #9 on: September 02, 2016, 06:21:34 am »

Hassan will win 51-48 in the end. It's impossible for a Republican to get more than 48% in a federal race in NH today. That being said, Climbing Maggie would be toast in any remotely competitive state.

Did you see that Climbing Maggie leads Ayotte's male primary opponent by 24 points? lol

Obviously because of angry women and not because Jim Rubens is an extremist with low name recognition.
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« Reply #10 on: September 02, 2016, 10:02:03 am »

WMUR is in cahoots with the Dems?

Who knows. Maybe not, but this is still a suspicious poll. I just don't want Republicans to waste millions in NH just so that Hassan can win by 3 instead of 7 or 8 points. NH was supposed to be a great state for Republicans in 2012 and 2014 as well and we all know how that turned out in the end... Smiley

Unless Ayotte breaks 50% in the pre-election polls, there is nothing to see here. Safe D.
« Last Edit: September 02, 2016, 10:04:03 am by TN volunteer »Logged

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