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  KS-Remington Research: Trump +7
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Author Topic: KS-Remington Research: Trump +7  (Read 2625 times)
Castro
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« on: September 01, 2016, 05:47:49 pm »

Trump - 44%
Clinton - 37%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 2%

http://m.cjonline.com/news/state/2016-09-01/sam-brownback-viewed-unfavorably-70-percent-confidential-gop-poll-blamed
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2016, 05:50:23 pm »

Those Brownback numbers are hilarious and sad.
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2016, 05:52:26 pm »

Well, Kansas, if you don't like Brownback, you shouldn't have voted for him. It's not like Paul Davis was a dud like Braley or Michaud, either.

Anyway, #BattlegroundKansas is pretty amusing.
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Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2016, 05:54:00 pm »

It's very possible Hillary can do well there and here in SD. I been seeing so much Hillary signs and bumper stickers here.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2016, 05:57:21 pm »

Would be very funny if a coalition of moderate Republicans and Democrats took over the State Senate and State House of Representatives.
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dspNY
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« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2016, 06:11:36 pm »

This is the second poll to show Kansas within single digits and this one was conducted by a GOP firm with a huge sample size (7700 voters)
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2016, 06:12:11 pm »

Bernie ain't doing much outside of NH. Send him on a 2 week college bus tour of the midwest and whip those caucus supporters into the polls
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: September 01, 2016, 06:40:40 pm »

If Kansas is within single digits, then Nebraska probably is too. And if that's the case, then Clinton should be winning NE-02.
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dspNY
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« Reply #8 on: September 01, 2016, 06:51:33 pm »

If Kansas is within single digits, then Nebraska probably is too. And if that's the case, then Clinton should be winning NE-02.

We need PPP to do a Nebraska poll with the CD breakdown. If they got something like Trump +10 to +12 that actually means NE-2 is Lean D and NE-1 is in play
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #9 on: September 01, 2016, 07:01:45 pm »

If Kansas is within single digits, then Nebraska probably is too. And if that's the case, then Clinton should be winning NE-02.
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LLR
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« Reply #10 on: September 01, 2016, 08:58:58 pm »

#BattlegroundKansas returns!

It actually seems legit now.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: September 01, 2016, 09:09:35 pm »

Well, Kansas, if you don't like Brownback, you shouldn't have voted for him. It's not like Paul Davis was a dud like Braley or Michaud, either.

Anyway, #BattlegroundKansas is pretty amusing.

2014 is the devil's year, bruh
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #12 on: September 01, 2016, 11:17:25 pm »

Kansas is one of those states where the polls always look closer than they really are.
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Castro
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« Reply #13 on: September 01, 2016, 11:27:26 pm »

Kansas is one of those states where the polls always look closer than they really are.

So far as I can tell, Romney never polled below +14, and McCain never polled below +12 (final poll was +21). Yes it was closer than the final result, but this poll is still half the margin Romney polled at.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: September 02, 2016, 12:24:34 am »

This is the second poll to show Kansas within single digits and this one was conducted by a GOP firm with a huge sample size (7700 voters)

Muh large sample size! I eagerly await Nate's #analysis on this matter. I'm sure he'll find some way to unskew it into bad news for Hillary. That's assuming he ever adds it to the site. It's certainly more credible than those Reuters "polls" which were swiftly added (not that that's saying much.)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: September 02, 2016, 12:28:50 am »

New Poll: Kansas President by Other Source on 2016-08-23

Summary: D: 37%, R: 44%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #16 on: September 02, 2016, 05:40:50 am »

This is the second poll to show Kansas within single digits and this one was conducted by a GOP firm with a huge sample size (7700 voters)

Muh large sample size! I eagerly await Nate's #analysis on this matter. I'm sure he'll find some way to unskew it into bad news for Hillary. That's assuming he ever adds it to the site. It's certainly more credible than those Reuters "polls" which were swiftly added (not that that's saying much.)
Nate is Trump troll, huh?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: September 02, 2016, 10:16:08 am »

Kansas is one of those states where the polls always look closer than they really are.

Donald Trump is not the normal Presidential nominee from a mainstream Party.
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Badger
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« Reply #18 on: September 02, 2016, 11:17:53 am »

I can't see Clinton makingg this competative if she's only polling 37%. most undecideds and Johnsonites will come home to the GOP in the end.
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
IndyRep
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« Reply #19 on: September 02, 2016, 11:23:39 am »

The Great Plains isn't trending Democratic, it's just that Trump is a terrible fit for most of those states.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: September 02, 2016, 11:32:22 am »

I can't see Clinton makingg this competative if she's only polling 37%. most undecideds and Johnsonites will come home to the GOP in the end.

Doesn't Johnson consistently hurt Clinton, though?
Johnson seems to be pulling pretty evenly from both camps in polling, but we'll see how thongs turn out on election day.
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Figueira
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« Reply #21 on: September 02, 2016, 11:33:48 am »

If Kansas is within single digits, then Nebraska probably is too. And if that's the case, then Clinton should be winning NE-02.

Yes, the Plains states, should they ever become truly competitive, would be natural Dem gerrymanders.

If the Democrats can win these states in the future, it's a great way of winning the Senate even while losing the presidential race.

Probably won't happen though.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #22 on: September 02, 2016, 11:44:51 am »

I can't see Clinton making this competative if she's only polling 37%. most undecideds and Johnsonites will come home to the GOP in the end.

If anything it would be Donald Trump making these states competitive. He is that bad!
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #23 on: September 02, 2016, 04:29:37 pm »

Should this belong in the internal polling thread?

Regardless, we should all feel lucky and take whatever few meager polls of Kansas we will likely get before November.

It appears, unless I'm reading it wrong that this was commissioned by Kansas Republicans to demonstrate how the "Kansas Republican Civil War" is creating potential significant short, medium, and longer term consequences to the Party and control of state government.

Even despite the dubious source, this isn't the first poll to show Kansas much closer than it should be, and also seems to indicate that "Bleeding Kansas" is once again ground zero in a Civil War, this time mainly confined to one extremely divided statewide political party that is creating openings that moderate statewide Democrats can exploit.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #24 on: September 04, 2016, 03:42:19 pm »

The Great Plains isn't trending Democratic, it's just that Trump is a terrible fit for most of those states.
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