Mexican Elections 2017-18

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote)

MORENA              33.39%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.95%
PRD                     19.68%
PAN                     11.69%
PRI rebel                2.31%
PT                         0.97% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

MORENA PRI gap closing again.  PRD dropping.

[jaichind]

Early Coahuila results (non-null)

PAN                         37.09%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     36.18%
MORENA                  12.61%
PRI rebel                 10.54%
PRD                          1.43%
PT                            1.28%  (dropped out to support MORENA)

PAN PRI gap closing

[jaichind]

Very early Nayarit results (non-null)

PAN-PRD-PT          41.28%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.52%
MORENA               14.26%
PRI rebel                 8.07%
MC                         3.00%

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote) with around 10% of the vote counted

MORENA              33.58%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.88%
PRD                     19.61%
PAN                     11.66%
PRI rebel                2.30%
PT                         0.97% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

It seems the MORENA lead is pretty steady.  If this continues to around 30% of the vote counted then MORENA most likely has won.

[jaichind]

Financiero-Bloomberg reports that PRI is now ahead in Edomex.  I do not see it on PREP.  Could be PREP is behind other sources.  Could also be the official early count.

[jaichind]

Very early Nayarit results (non-null)

PAN-PRD-PT          43.29%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  25.55%
MORENA               12.45%
PRI rebel               10.15%
MC                         4.53%

These results seems to match pre-election polls pretty well.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex (non-null vote) with around 13% of the vote counted

Morena              32.58%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  30.97%
PRD                     18.90%
PAN                     11.28%
PRI rebel                2.23%
PT                         0.96% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

[jaichind]

In Edomex.  Early official sample counts has PRI with 32.75% to 33.59% and MORENA at 30.73% to 31.53%.

[jaichind]

MXN surges on news of early Edomex count.  Now MXN down only 0.1% from friday versus a peak of down 0.7% a few minutes ago.

[jaichind]

AMLO already announced via a video a hour ago that information he has shows that MORENA has won Edomex.   Just like he had information back in 2006 that showed he won the 2006 Prez race.

[jaichind]

Early Coahuila results (non-null)

PAN                         37.94%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     36.06%
MORENA                  12.87%
PRI rebel                   9.17%
PRD                          1.50%
PT                            1.70%  (dropped out to support MORENA)

Steady lead for PAN

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote) still has MORENA ahead

MORENA              33.61%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.96%
PRD                     19.50%
PAN                     11.64%
PRI rebel                2.30%
PT                         0.99% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

[jaichind]

Better looking image of quick count for Edomex

[jaichind]

MORENA says they accept quick count but say that the final results will show that MORENA has won Edomex.

[jaichind]

Veracruz results so far (186 out of 212 cities reporting) - vote share non-null

                 Vote share       Leading
PAN-PRD       32.18%          86
PRI-PVEM      18.41%          38
PRI                 1.99%            4
PVEM              1.78%           5
MORENA       19.39%         16
PANAL            7.26%         18
MC                 7.45%           9
PT                  4.70%           5
PES                2.95%           2
Ind                3.90%            3

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote) 

MORENA              33.45%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  32.12%
PRD                     19.33%
PAN                     11.78%
PRI rebel                2.24%
PT                         0.98% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

MORENA-PRI gap closing again.

[jaichind]

AMLO appears on social media claiming that the quick count methods are not sound and falsely gives a PRI lead over MORENA when it is a tie.

[jaichind]

Early Coahuila results (non-null) 3.5% of the vote counted

PAN                         37.98%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     36.65%
MORENA                  12.76%
PRI rebel                   8.76%
PRD                          1.45%
PT                            1.71%  (dropped out to support MORENA)

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote)  19% of the vote counted

MORENA              33.33%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  32.22%
PRD                     19.20%
PAN                     11.92%
PRI rebel                2.32%
PT                         1.01% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

MORENA-PRI gap continues to close.

[jaichind]

Very early Nayarit results (non-null) around 1% counted

PAN-PRD-PT          42.62%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  28.40%
MORENA               11.32%
PRI rebel                9.64%
MC                         4.15%

[jaichind]

MXN now up 0.4% since Friday versus down 0.7% at its worst a while ago.

[jaichind]

Edomex (non-null vote)  23% of the vote counted

MORENA              33.30%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  32.27%
PRD                     19.16%
PAN                     11.92%
PRI rebel                2.33%
PT                         1.02% (has dropped out in favor of MORENA)

[jaichind]

Coahuila results (non-null) 5% of the vote counted

PAN                         38.65%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     37.25%
MORENA                  12.09%
PRI rebel                   8.07%
PRD                          1.57%
PT                            1.75%  (dropped out to support MORENA)

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex (non-null vote)  25% of the vote counted

Morena              32.14%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.43%
PRD                     18.49%
PAN                     11.57%
PRI rebel                2.25%
PT                         1.00% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

The preliminary results keep tightening!

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex preliminary vote, 32% of the vote counted

Morena              32.12%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.60%
PRD                     18.66%
PAN                     11.28%
PRI rebel                2.22%
PT                         1.01% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

Tighter and tighter~