Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 11, 2018, 08:09:12 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, Hash)
| | |-+  Mexican Elections 2017-18
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 [13] 14 15 16 17 18 ... 30 Print
Author Topic: Mexican Elections 2017-18  (Read 48668 times)
Bojicat
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 51
P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #300 on: February 07, 2018, 10:18:52 am »

Same El Financiero poll has data on vote for Lower House and Senate by party where it is a lot closer



If you add up the votes by alliance you get

Lower House
MORENA-PT-PES      33
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     29
PAN-PRD-MC           29

Senate
MORENA-PT-PES      32
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     30
PAN-PRD-MC           29

Which comes out to a 3 way tie.  I guess a lot of marginal PRI and PRD voters are voting AMLO for Prez but voting with their party in the Congressional vote.

Thanks, Jaichind, for your always helpful and wonderful supply of charts and micro-data. 

Do you think it also possible that marginal PRI and PRD voters are in reality paying pollsters lip service to the phenomenon-de-jour which is AMLO, joining in his adulation carnival, then will, in the end, fall-in with the established party (and party leader) they've been stubbornly voting for all of their lives?
Logged
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #301 on: February 07, 2018, 12:21:51 pm »

Reuters reports that Parametria poll has AMLO also ahead

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-election/mexican-leftist-holds-double-digit-lead-in-presidential-race-poll-idUSKBN1FR0QG

AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       34
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           23
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     18
Zavala (PAN rebel)                7
El Bronco                              2
Piter(PRD rebel)                    2
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #302 on: February 07, 2018, 12:28:03 pm »


Thanks, Jaichind, for your always helpful and wonderful supply of charts and micro-data.  

Do you think it also possible that marginal PRI and PRD voters are in reality paying pollsters lip service to the phenomenon-de-jour which is AMLO, joining in his adulation carnival, then will, in the end, fall-in with the established party (and party leader) they've been stubbornly voting for all of their lives?

I do not know too much at the ground level. I would imagine if Meade is a credible candidate on the stump and we get closer to the election AND Meade is not too far behind in the polls, that the PRI machine can get PRI voters to go back to Meade.  Anaya on the other hand risks losing the PRD vote due to ideological differences and that really comes down to are the PRD grassroots willing to head their PRD central leadership to vote Anaya.

BTW for comparison purposes If you took the 2015 Lower House election results and then replicate the alliances for 2018 you get

Lower House
MORENA-PT-PES      15.31
PRI-PVEM-PANAL     41.88
PAN-PRD-MC             42.20

I counted PH as part of the PAN-PRD-MC which has been defunct since 2015 as part of PAN-PRD-MC as it was really a PAN splinter and there were rumors that PH was the creation of ex-PAN president Calderón, husband of Zavala.  These numbers are normalized for the NULL and it shows the pro-MORENA swing relative to 2015 since now it is a 3 way tie for Lower House vote.  AMLO polls even better than MORENA.
« Last Edit: February 07, 2018, 05:46:59 pm by jaichind »Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #303 on: February 09, 2018, 07:34:25 am »

SDP poll (which seems have a historical pro-MORENA lean) has AMLO way ahead but Meade in second place


AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       39.4 (+0.3)
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     25.7 (-0.4)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           19.5 (+1.8  )
Zavala (PAN rebel)                7.2 (-0.7)
El Bronco                              2.6 (-0.3)
Piter(PRD rebel)                    1.4

But I guess follows the other poll trends of Anaya gaining.
« Last Edit: February 09, 2018, 07:40:26 am by jaichind »Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #304 on: February 09, 2018, 07:40:12 am »

An El País poll of polls has AMLO ahead with Anaya and Meade in a close race for second



AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       36.8
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           27.4
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     24.7
Zavala (PAN rebel)                6.8
El Bronco                              2.8

A poll of polls for party support has better news for Meade and Anaya since it shows that the PAN-PRD-MC bloc and PRI-PVEM-PANAL are still bigger than the MORENA-PT-PES although the gap has been closing fast last year.


This should give some hope to Meade and to some extent Anaya that once the election campaigning starts and the race gets more partisan and their core supporters will swing back.  Not sure this will help Anaya as much as I think a good part of the PRD vote will move to AMLO and stay there.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #305 on: February 09, 2018, 07:59:21 am »

Yeah, actually, it is a bit surprising. Of course, within Mexico City the only hopeless district (15th, Benito Juarez) went to PES, but then the difficult Miguel Hidalgo district goes to Morena. I Guanajuato Morena did take the ony district where they stand any chance whatsoever (Valle de Santiago), but also a lot of hopeless ones. Morena also takes several Nezahualcoyotl districts - even though this is one of the last real pockets of PRD strength (ok, perhaps they are just trying to destroy PRD and think they can). PT, though, is stuck with the PRIista Atlacomulco and likely PANista Naucalpan. But nothing is that clear.

Of course, it remains to see who are the actual candidates. PES does not have many people to staff the lists. It could well be that they will simply take obradorista guys who would have otherwise run as Morena, and the only think PESista or PTista about the candidates would be the money that the vote for them will send.

I thought about this some more.  One theory I have about why AMLO is so generous is the need to avoid the 8% rule.  If it becomes a close 3 way race between the 3 blocs a small vote share advantage could translate into a large advantage in the FPTP seats.  If so there is a chance that the total MORENA-PT-PES seat count could be constrained by the 8% rule.  But if a large number of FPTP winners have the party label of PT or PES, AMLO get get around this.

Just to game it out.  Say things go well for AMLO and MORENA-PT-PES wins 38% of the non-null PR vote (MORENA 30% PT 4% PES 4%) and 160 out of 300 FPTP seats.  

If AMLO allocated seats according to relative strength of the 3 parties then the 160 winners will most likely be (140 MORENA 10 PT 10 PES.)  But then MORENA will hit the 8% rule since

30%+8% = 38% * 500 seats = 190 seats.  But MORENA would have won 140 seats + (30%*200) = 200 seats of which 10 would be taken away.

Now if we go with the current distribution of seats the 160 winners would be (80 MORENA 40 PT 40 PES) and MORENA is way below the 8% rule cap.  Now doing the 8% rule on PES or PT would yield.

4%+8% = 12% * 500 = 60 seats.  PT or PES would have won 40 + (4%*200) = 48 seats which is also below the 8% rule.

Which means  MORENA-PT-PES  would win a total of 236 out of 500 seats and the getting some PRD or MC defectors after the election could fetch AMLO a majority in the Lower House.
« Last Edit: February 09, 2018, 11:12:13 am by jaichind »Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #306 on: February 11, 2018, 07:53:24 pm »

It seems the PAN-PRD-MC candidate for governor of  Veracruz is Miguel Ángel Yunes Márquez


Who is the son of current PAN governor Miguel Ángel Yunes Linares
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
ag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,792


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #307 on: February 11, 2018, 08:32:07 pm »

Well, it does seem unfair to apply a no-reelection clause to a governor, whose term has been cut to 2 years!
Logged

This is the year which people will talk about
This is the year which people will be silent about.
The old see the young die.
The foolish see the wise die.

The earth no longer produces, it devours.
The sky hurls down no rain, only iron.

Bertolt Brecht
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #308 on: February 14, 2018, 10:05:58 am »

El Economista poll with front runners gaining against the weaker candidates



AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       27.1 (+3.5)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           22.3 (+1.0)
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     18.0 (-0.2)
Ind                                       8.0 (-2.0)  (Zavala, El Bronco,Piter)


More people now believe that AMLO will win


AMLO stronger with higher educated voters, Meade stronger with low educated voters.  Sort of goes against the narrative of AMLO as populist.




Shift of the 2012 Prez vote.  It seems most of the 2012 PRD vote has go over to AMLO while the 2012 PRI vote see some losses to both AMLO and Anaya.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #309 on: February 15, 2018, 09:54:46 am »

El Reforma poll



AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       33  (+2)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           25 (+6)
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     14  (-3)
Zavala (PAN rebel)                 4 (-4)
El Bronco                              2 (--)

Anti-AMLO vote consolidating around Anaya.  Meade has to reverse this or else he is toast.
 
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #310 on: February 16, 2018, 07:08:54 am »

Markets Ignore Radical Leftist Mounting Big Lead in Mexico Polls

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-16/markets-ignore-radical-leftist-mounting-big-lead-in-mexico-polls?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google

Quote
Eighty-five percent of those C-suite executives surveyed by Banco Santander last month said Lopez Obrador will be defeated in July’s vote just as he was back in 2006 and 2012. This confidence explains why Mexican markets have held up so well as Lopez Obrador -- who has made “neoliberalism” enemy No.1 in his speeches for years and pledged to roll back efforts to open up the state-run oil industry -- built his lead over a pair of more conventional candidates. The peso is the second-best currency in all of emerging markets this year and stocks have outperformed most peers.

Quote
Alejandro Cuadrado, a strategist at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, cautions the peso could weaken 7 percent from current levels if Amlo is leading in the days before the vote. Exotix, a research firm that specializes in the riskiest assets, says an election win could prompt a 15 percent selloff in the benchmark stock index and boost local bond yields by 4 percentage points.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #311 on: February 19, 2018, 09:44:41 am »

The Mexico "pre-campaign" period, a period theoretically to be used for party primaries to choose their candidates, has ended.  Of course this entire period everyone knew who the various party candidates were going to be.  The idea of this "pre-campaign" charade is for all the candidates (known as pre-candidates) to get around campaign spending limits by spending on PR for their "primary" when in reality it is just for the general election campaign.

Now this period is over and AMLO, Anaya, and Meade having become official candidates of MORENA-PT-PES, PAN-PRD-MC, and PRI-PVEM-PANAL we can move on to the real election campaign which does not start, officially, until March 30th.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #312 on: March 07, 2018, 08:02:56 am »

Latest Reuters reports on Parametria poll has AMLO extending lead as Anaya and Meade loses ground to Zavala and El Bronco.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-election-exclusive/exclusive-mexico-left-wing-candidates-lead-widens-as-rivals-bicker-poll-idUSKCN1GJ0IK?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=twitter
 
AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       35 (+1)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           21 (-2)
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     16 (-2)
Zavala (PAN rebel)               10 (+3)
El Bronco                              5 (+3)
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #313 on: March 09, 2018, 07:36:45 pm »

Ipsos poll has AMLO way ahead

AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       36.3
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     22.7
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           15.1
Zavala (PAN rebel)                2.1
El Bronco                              1.1
Piter(PRD rebel)                    0.4

Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #314 on: March 09, 2018, 07:38:27 pm »

Massive Caller poll for  Veracruz governor has MORENA in neck-to-neck race with PRI

MORENA-PES-PT     26.8
PRI-PVEM               26.1
PAN-PRD-MC          20.7

« Last Edit: March 12, 2018, 04:25:10 pm by jaichind »Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #315 on: March 09, 2018, 07:43:55 pm »

An El País poll of polls has the two front runners gaining ground since Feb



AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       37.8 (+1.0)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           29.2 (+1.8  )
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     23.8 (-0.9)
Zavala (PAN rebel)                5.7  (-1.1)
El Bronco                              2.6  (-0.2)
« Last Edit: March 10, 2018, 03:12:00 pm by jaichind »Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #316 on: March 12, 2018, 04:21:21 pm »

Facebook survey has Meade second

AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       39.5  (+1.1)
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     24.3  (-1.4)
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           19.5  (---)
Zavala (PAN rebel)                8.0  (+0.8  )
El Bronco                              3.4 (+0.8  )
Piter(PRD rebel)                    0.8 (-0.6)



Which is based on adding up party support
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #317 on: March 12, 2018, 04:23:40 pm »

Guanajuato governor race has PAN-PRD-MC way ahead.  It seems PRI-PVEM-PANAL failed to form an alliance here.

PAN-PRD-MC       52
PRI                     22
MORENA-PT-PES  21
PVEM                   4
PANAL                  1



Vote for House and Senate also has PAN way ahead in this PAN stronegold

Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #318 on: March 12, 2018, 07:10:47 pm »

Another Veracruz governor poll seem to match Massive Caller poll that has PAN-PRD-MC in third place

MORENA-PES-PT     37.6
PRI-PVEM               36.1
PAN-PRD-MC          17.2
PANAL                     1.4
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #319 on: March 12, 2018, 07:15:31 pm »

Massive Caller poll on Chihuahua Senate race has PAN-PRD-MC way ahead with MORENA-PT-PES and PRI-PVEM-PANAL fighting for second

PAN-PRD-MC         28.17
MORENA-PT-PES    17.61
PRI-PVEM-PANAL   17.52

Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #320 on: March 12, 2018, 07:22:53 pm »

It seems Anaya is spending most of his time trying to knock Meade out of the race so he can take on AMLO 1-on-1 and repeat the 2006 experience.  He has said that when he takes power he will make sure that all the corruption from this PRI administration will be investigated and punished.  I guess the main risk there is that he could end up consolidating the old PRI machine vote behind Meade out of protection instead of going to him to stop AMLO.  Worse if the old PRI machine vote perceive Anaya as a bigger danger than AMLO  then they can also swing behind AMLO. 

Another reason why the 2006 strategy might not work 100% is the existence of  PAN PRI and PRD dissidents in the form of Zavala, El Bronco and Piter.  This gives options for voters of all stripes that does not want to vote AMLO but detest PRI corruption another option other than Anaya.  If enough of them exercise that option Anaya still comes up short.

It seems to me that even if Anaya completely destroys Meade but does it in an aggressive way there will still be a floor of 20% for PRI as the core PRI vote circles wagons in protection.  AMLO seem to have a floor of 35%.  So assuming  Zavala, El Bronco and Piter all take at worst 7%, Aanya has a very narrow band to defeat AMLO 37% to 35%.  Not being so aggressive on PRI will let Meade self-implode and then the floor on the PRI vote might be lower freeing up more votes for Anaya.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #321 on: March 13, 2018, 06:44:17 am »

Encuesta Ciudadana poll

AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       34
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     21
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           13
Zavala (PAN rebel)                 5
El Bronco                              1
Piter(PRD rebel)                    1


From there and other polls it projects

AMLO (MORENA-PT-PES)       39
Meade (PRI-PVEM-PANAL)     29
Anaya (PAN-PRD-MC)           22
Zavala (PAN rebel)                 6
El Bronco                              3
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,181
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #322 on: March 13, 2018, 04:28:50 pm »

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-12/google-searches-may-signal-trouble-for-mexico-election-favorite


Quote
Google searches indicate that Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador might be losing support in his bid to become Mexico’s next president, according to strategists at Citigroup Inc.

The number of times Mexicans typed the frontrunner’s name into the search engine has started to decline this month, a development that could indicate his lead in the polls will fade leading up to the July 1 ballot, according to the bank’s analysts. Searches for second-place candidate Ricardo Anaya have been on the rise, they said.
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
MB
MB298
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,639


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #323 on: March 13, 2018, 05:42:28 pm »

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-12/google-searches-may-signal-trouble-for-mexico-election-favorite


Quote
Google searches indicate that Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador might be losing support in his bid to become Mexico’s next president, according to strategists at Citigroup Inc.

The number of times Mexicans typed the frontrunner’s name into the search engine has started to decline this month, a development that could indicate his lead in the polls will fade leading up to the July 1 ballot, according to the bank’s analysts. Searches for second-place candidate Ricardo Anaya have been on the rise, they said.
Until there's actual polling I don't really think this has much of an impact.
Logged



"My grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I drive a Mercedes, my son drives a Land Rover, his son will drive a Land Rover, but his son will ride a camel."
-Sheikh Rashid
Heat
Full Member
***
Posts: 182
Poland


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #324 on: March 14, 2018, 05:28:16 am »

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-12/google-searches-may-signal-trouble-for-mexico-election-favorite


Quote
Google searches indicate that Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador might be losing support in his bid to become Mexico’s next president, according to strategists at Citigroup Inc.

The number of times Mexicans typed the frontrunner’s name into the search engine has started to decline this month, a development that could indicate his lead in the polls will fade leading up to the July 1 ballot, according to the bank’s analysts. Searches for second-place candidate Ricardo Anaya have been on the rise, they said.
lol
Logged

Wasn't it gonna be fun and wasn't it gonna be new?
Wasn't it gonna be different and wasn't it gonna be true?
Didn't you say that? Didn't you say that?
Pages: 1 ... 8 9 10 11 12 [13] 14 15 16 17 18 ... 30 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines