Mexican Elections 2017-18
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Author Topic: Mexican Elections 2017-18  (Read 86967 times)
BL53931
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« Reply #575 on: July 01, 2018, 08:41:28 PM »
Pardon my language but when in hell is Telemundo going to broadcast any results?  I've had them on three hours now, the polls closed 40 minutes ago and it's still endless ads and talking heads with no numbers. This forum has better coverage.  

I really have to wonder if they decided not to subtitle in English out of spite. Understandable I suppose if so.  
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jaichind
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« Reply #576 on: July 01, 2018, 08:42:57 PM »
Quote from: BL53931 on July 01, 2018, 08:41:28 PM
Pardon my language but when in hell is Telemundo going to broadcast any results?  I've had them on three hours now, the polls closed 40 minutes ago and it's still endless ads and talking heads with no numbers. This forum has better coverage.  

I really have to wonder if they decided not to subtitle in English out of spite. Understandable I suppose if so.  

Just look at PREP.  The  EL UNIVERSAL live stream is also very short on results.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #577 on: July 01, 2018, 08:44:24 PM »
Jaichind many thanks for all the updates and your expertise with this, it's really appreciated.

If he doesn't have a majority in both chambers, will he struggle to enact legislation domestically, like a US President might if his party didn't have both House and Senate?

Thanks
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #578 on: July 01, 2018, 08:44:54 PM »
To be fair so little of the vote is in that there's not much point in talking about it. How can you analyze 0.15% of the vote?
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jaichind
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« Reply #579 on: July 01, 2018, 08:45:59 PM »
Quote from: BundouYMB on July 01, 2018, 08:44:54 PM
To be fair so little of the vote is in that there's not much point in talking about it. How can you analyze 0.15% of the vote?

You cannot.  I plan to go to bed in a few min and wake up in 4-5 hours when there are real results.
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jaichind
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« Reply #580 on: July 01, 2018, 08:47:33 PM »
At this stage the results are pretty clear.  Outstanding questions are if MORENA-PT-PES can win a majority in both chambers and who wins Yucatan.  It seems that unless exit polls are way off MORENA should win Veracruz and Puebla.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #581 on: July 01, 2018, 08:48:53 PM »
Ugh, f**k, I really won't be able to see any solid results before I sleep, will I?

Good night y'all.
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Velasco
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« Reply #582 on: July 01, 2018, 08:52:46 PM »
Anaya concedes defeat and wishes AMLO a succesful presidency for the good of Mexico

Quote from: SHO MI YOWA BUREIV HAAT on July 01, 2018, 08:48:53 PM
Ugh, f**k, I really won't be able to see any solid results before I sleep, will I?

Good night y'all.

I'm afraid you won't. I'm going to sleep too.
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Galaxie
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« Reply #583 on: July 01, 2018, 09:06:01 PM »
President-Elect AMLO... that seems hella fast to call that
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #584 on: July 01, 2018, 09:07:51 PM »
Anyone have a link to a results map?
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Galaxie
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« Reply #585 on: July 01, 2018, 09:10:25 PM »

Can't seem to find one either
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #586 on: July 01, 2018, 09:14:45 PM »
https://eleccionesinegr.gruporeforma.com/default.html?idplaza=2
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Galaxie
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« Reply #587 on: July 01, 2018, 09:15:09 PM »

Thank you!
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #588 on: July 01, 2018, 09:49:44 PM »


Senate predictions by Mitofsky/Televisa exit poll
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Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela
Heat
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« Reply #589 on: July 01, 2018, 09:54:27 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2018, 09:57:28 PM by Heat »
Jesus tapdancing christ, that PRI estimate. Can they even recover from this?
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #590 on: July 01, 2018, 10:43:48 PM »
Quote from: Heat on July 01, 2018, 09:54:27 PM
Jesus tapdancing christ, that PRI estimate. Can they even recover from this?
I doubt there will be a PRI president again. Maybe they'll change the name or something.
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #591 on: July 01, 2018, 11:07:17 PM »
The National Electoral Institute released their sample, based on 5% of all polling stations
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #592 on: July 01, 2018, 11:14:14 PM »
AP is reporting that an official quick count by Mexican officials has Obrador winning between 53% to 54% of the vote.

Overperforming the polls and leading Anaya by over 30 points.
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #593 on: July 01, 2018, 11:36:38 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on July 01, 2018, 11:14:14 PM
AP is reporting that an official quick count by Mexican officials has Obrador winning between 53% to 54% of the vote.

Overperforming the polls and leading Anaya by over 30 points.

It's the same quick count as the image I posted
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #594 on: July 01, 2018, 11:41:20 PM »
Quote from: ∀lex on July 01, 2018, 11:36:38 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on July 01, 2018, 11:14:14 PM
AP is reporting that an official quick count by Mexican officials has Obrador winning between 53% to 54% of the vote.

Overperforming the polls and leading Anaya by over 30 points.

It's the same quick count as the image I posted

My apologies.

Anyways, Meade is massively underperforming the polls. PRI should disband and start over.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #595 on: July 02, 2018, 12:13:51 AM »
AMLO is about to cross 50% in the count.

The new government looks like it is going to have over 300 seats in the chamber of deputies and a commanding majority in the Senate. Taking in MORENA's gains in the states, AMLO has taken total control over Mexico's elected bodies in one fell swoop.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #596 on: July 02, 2018, 12:21:20 AM »


He's done it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #597 on: July 02, 2018, 12:26:34 AM »
So far, AMLO is sweeping all but two states.

Anaya is losing his home state, Querétaro, by 6.86

Anaya is winning Nuevo León by 3.61, and Guanajuato by 13.06

AMLO is winning his home state, Tabasco, by a whopping 73.68. Anaya is polling third.

Does anyone have an explanation as to why Anaya is doing so well in Guanajuato?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #598 on: July 02, 2018, 12:32:40 AM »


Looking at the Chamber of Deputies map, the only regions that didn't landslide for MORENA are Yucatan for the PRI and Monterrey and the strip of Mexico immediately north of Mexico City for the PAN.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #599 on: July 02, 2018, 12:36:23 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on July 02, 2018, 12:26:34 AM
Does anyone have an explanation as to why Anaya is doing so well in Guanajuato?

Guanajuato is a pretty right wing area. AMLO only got 13.3% of the vote there in 2012, and 15.8% in 2006.
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