Post Zavala leaving PAN to run as an independent, Financiero poll
MORENA-PT (AMLO) 32 (-2)
PRI-PVEM (Chong) 24 (+1)
PAN-PRD-MC(Anaya) 19 (-6)
Ind (Zavala) 16 (+7)
Ind (Pedro Ferriz,El Bronco) 9
Main danger for both Anaya and Zavala is if PRI establishes itself as the alternative to AMLO. Then both will become marginalized as the establishment vote (some of PAN's vote) will go to PRI.
This is a dubious claim - middle class/well-educated Mexicans might have been willing to hold their nose to vote tactically for the PRI against AMLO in 2012, when the PRI had been out of power at the federal level for 12 years and, IIRC, there was some evidence of this in very wealthy parts of DF, like Polanco, where the PRI won some voting booths. This is not the case anymore - I doubt that any urban professional who isn't a recipient of direct patronage would consider the PRI. EPN was
What's more likely is that the anti-AMLO/anti-PRI vote will consolidate around Zavala, Anaya or El Bronco. Few people will be willing to switch lanes to vote for the PRI - that's a bridge too far for the average PANista.
