IA-Emerson: Trump +5
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  IA-Emerson: Trump +5
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Author Topic: IA-Emerson: Trump +5  (Read 2379 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #50 on: September 04, 2016, 02:33:32 PM »

So you CHOOSE to believe the polls you like, right?

There are A nationall polls.
There are A WI polls.
There are plenty of B polls.

Almost all showing the race tightening (some slightly, some considerably).

But muh, NH poll with 400 sample size knows best!

The poll of New Hampshire does show a little slipping by Hillary Clinton. So did the Marquette University poll. New Hampshire is homogeneous enough that a poll of 400 people can get a good picture of statewide politics. One would need more for Ohio, and even more (like about 4000) for Texas or California

A recently-inactive pollster flooding the media with several new polls at once? That is itself suspicious.

I rejected polls because they come from special-interest groups, like a bunch of polls by PPP for a group seeking to raise the federal minimum wage. If I don't do that then I must accept polls by  trade associations and other right-leaning groups. I have shown polls that I have not used, and shown why I refuse to use them.

Has Hillary Clinton slipped some from last week? Probably -- because Donald Trump hadn't said anything egregious for a week or so. Hillary Clinton fares well in the polls to the extent that Donald Trump makes a fool of himself. 
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Deblano
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« Reply #51 on: September 05, 2016, 10:08:48 PM »

Not saying you should trust this specifical poll, but you shouldn't be surprised if Trump leads in Iowa.

Iowa seems like it could very well go into the Republicans come November.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #52 on: September 08, 2016, 05:16:34 AM »

We know Emerson is junky, wont stop Seriously and the Swede from celebrating.

Seriously and the Swede: the less successful tie in to Beauty and The Beast
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