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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6 (two-way) +4 (four-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6 (two-way) +4 (four-way)  (Read 1403 times)
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 21,156
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« on: September 06, 2016, 05:43:12 am »

That looks pretty accurate. Certainly more believable than the CNN numbers.

Yup, the electorate isn't going to be R+4. Even in 2004 the electorate was even, in the other elections since 1992 more Democrats voted
When was the last GE that had a Republican electorate?
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Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 21,156
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 07:10:18 am »

Party ID was tied in 2004 (37-37) according to exit polls from 2004.

The mistake the GOP has made is thinking 2004 was some kind of default.
I'd believe that.

and that's as close as it has ever been 1976 and on, I couldn't find anything pre-1976.....

I am guessing you would have to go back to the Roaring 20s to find a composition like that.
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