Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll (user search)
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  Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll  (Read 5742 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: September 06, 2016, 12:29:04 PM »

yikes - not gonna try to unskew, just hope this is an outlier.

The margin for whites sounds about right for a Republican win - 21 points is better than Romney's 20.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 12:50:07 PM »

i mean, Trump is winning whites without a college education by 44 points. If he keeps up that margin and pumps up turnout a win is not inconceivable.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2016, 01:13:47 PM »

i mean, Trump is winning whites without a college education by 44 points. If he keeps up that margin and pumps up turnout a win is not inconceivable.

That's going to be hard considering he has such a weak ground game, and less education is correlated pretty strongly with weaker turnout.

that's the hope!
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2016, 03:39:12 PM »

This poll also shows Trump favorables that I actually don't believe - (45/54). This is shocking because every other poll shows his numbers around -25.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2016, 10:14:16 PM »

unskewing outliers are pretty silly.
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