Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll

[dspNY]

WTF?

They messed their sample up, only 28% are Democrats compared to 32% Republican and 40% Independent

[dspNY]

It's 44-41-9-3 to Clinton on RV rather than LV. Modelling who's actually going to vote (see Reuters) is causing much of the divergence in national polls.

That finding sounds reasonable, if slightly tilted R

[dspNY]

This poll also shows Trump favorables that I actually don't believe - (45/54). This is shocking because every other poll shows his numbers around -25.

Well when your polling model shows that 30% of the democratic base is not included, that's how you get an outlier

[dspNY]

I think we should set a standard of posting the RV numbers and LV numbers together in future polls if they have both sets of numbers. Remember in 2012, the RV numbers were correct