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Author Topic: Home-stretch polling  (Read 26170 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #100 on: November 07, 2016, 11:37:00 pm »

Locked with this message. The time for prophesy, forecast, and prediction come to an end tonight.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #101 on: November 07, 2016, 11:50:25 pm »

Michigan firm D?


"Firm" does not mean "solid".
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J. J.
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« Reply #102 on: November 08, 2016, 05:57:00 pm »

If there is a 1980 style shift, it will go for Trump.

How many more elections until you stop jacking off to Reagan's 1980 win?

Until the next realignment.  I was talking about 1932 in 1980. 
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
King
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« Reply #103 on: November 08, 2016, 06:00:04 pm »

If there is a 1980 style shift, it will go for Trump.

How many more elections until you stop jacking off to Reagan's 1980 win?

Until the next realignment.  I was talking about 1932 in 1980. 

lol Virginia is a safe D state and the First Lady of Arkansas is losing it by 20 points. there's been a realignment.
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J. J.
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« Reply #104 on: November 08, 2016, 06:11:02 pm »

Ah, King, here is my map.

I am not using the map for percentages.  The lighter shades are my tossups, showing a guess of how each will go. 



I am assuming a slight trend to Trump, and looked as past elections.  I have it at:

Clinton:  269
Trump:  269


Where do you get the idea that I have Virginia even as a tossup?  I would be more stunned at Trump winning PA or MN than I would with him winning VA. 
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #105 on: November 09, 2016, 04:10:13 am »

If there is a 1980 style shift, it will go for Trump.

How many more elections until you stop jacking off to Reagan's 1980 win?

Until the next realignment.  I was talking about 1932 in 1980. 

lol Virginia is a safe D state and the First Lady of Arkansas is losing it by 20 points. there's been a realignment.

Can you say "realignment?"  Good, I knew you could. 
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
dalekmasterkilledme
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« Reply #106 on: November 10, 2016, 09:33:25 am »

TRUMP MAY NOT BECOME PRESIDENT!! Search "Trump may not become president Nakedtruth" in youtube and click in the first video.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #107 on: November 10, 2016, 07:39:56 pm »

We are going to discover the difference between a republic and a democracy. Chile under Agosto Pinochet was unambiguously a republic and unambiguously a tyranny.

Democracy died in America on Tuesday. There may never be a free and fair election that the Republicans will ever lose.



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LLR
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« Reply #108 on: November 10, 2016, 08:10:10 pm »

We are going to discover the difference between a republic and a democracy. Chile under Agosto Pinochet was unambiguously a republic and unambiguously a tyranny.

Democracy died in America on Tuesday. There may never be a free and fair election that the Republicans will ever lose.


Classic pbrower #analysis at its finest. The national polls were off by 2 points, jeez.
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