Home-stretch polling (user search)
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Author Topic: Home-stretch polling  (Read 47234 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: September 06, 2016, 08:54:15 AM »

The Washington Post has polled all fifty states.
No, it was C- online pollster Survey Monkey.

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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 09:09:23 AM »
« Edited: September 06, 2016, 09:11:21 AM by LittleBigOctopus »

The Washington Post has polled all fifty states.
No, it was C- online pollster Survey Monkey.

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Roll Eyes

Really, just stop. You can't discount polls just because they are from a C- pollster as long the results look right. And in this case, they do.
They have still nothing to do with WaPo.

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This has nothing to do with WaPo. Ipsos state survey has not same sample as they weekly polls, but is still done by Ipsos. Same here.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2016, 09:11:02 AM »

50 state polls are bound to have a few inconsistencies, but it's (a) better than Ipsos, (b) previous polls in Texas and Mississippi have shown it within single digits, and other polls have shown a Trump lead in Ohio.
Based on what?

Whatever... You're choosing the polls Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2016, 09:23:17 AM »

And Ipsos is an A pollster, so you trust it's results, right?After all A=automatically good and C- = automatically bad.

The truth is that Reuters does have an effect on the Ipsos polling, and the Washington Post did affect this poll when it comes to weighting.
Evidence?

I'm not saying Monkey is a bad pollster. But it has nothing to do with WaPo. And pbrower2a wants to do them more reliable by omitting this fact.

For one, it has less of a house effect and has produced more accurate polls this election.
You think? Both have D house effect

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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 12:41:00 PM »

He'll be back, when Dems have a good news (the recent news from NC were really good for Hillary though)

Back to this polling thread. Leads that I saw for Donald Trump made me physically ill. Yes, I have a bias -- against someone who advocates political violence, who promotes breaking up families in the name of mass deportation, who vilifies whole ethnic and religious  groups. I have enough personal problems as it is, and hearing someone attack the core decencies of the American experiment in democracy could push me over the edge.

But if I am to show a comeback by Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump going into the tank, I must show Trump charging, if only for a week. And by charging I do not mean putting 'surf 'n' turf on a charge card.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 02:50:26 PM »

Why is NH not tied?
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