I am not using the map for percentages. The lighter shades are my tossups, showing a guess of how each will go.
I am assuming a slight trend to Trump, and looked as past elections. I have it at:
Clinton: 269
Trump: 269
I was not trying to come out with a tie.
A stronger trend to Trump and he wins; the tide shifts slightly to Clinton, she wins. A tidal wave and well .... If there is a 1980 style shift, it will go for Trump.
I would also be watching to see what the CD's in Maine and Nebraska do. It may come down to one of those.
NC at solid R?!
This is Trumps best case scenario. Hillary is up mid single digits in VA,CO,PA,MI, and WI. Let's see where NH is. We need to keep NC/FL close though.
